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Pro Sports Bettors Describe Their Worst Losses... | Presented by Kalshi

Circles Off

2026-02-05

 

The Worst Sports Betting Losses Ever Recorded (With Pro Insights) (For Beginners)

 

Losing money stinks. We've all been there, whether it's a small slip up or a massive financial gut punch. When you hear about professional sports betting experts discussing their biggest financial disasters or the soul-crushing bad beats that still keep them up at night, you know you're getting real wisdom. We talked to a lineup of pros right here in Las Vegas to uncover the most painful losses they’ve endured.

 

You're about to find out exactly how much money smart bettors have dropped in single wagers, and more importantly, the psychological toll these moments take. This isn't about rubbing salt in the wound, though. It's about extracting lessons from those ultimate down moments so you can protect your bankroll and sharpen your decision making when the pressure turns up. We're focusing on real dollar amounts and absolutely brutal bad beats.

 

Here's What We'll Cover

  • Financial Disasters: When Large Stakes Meet Bad Luck
  • The Most Painful Missed Payouts Worth Millions
  • Bad Beats That Still Haunt the Experts
  • The Importance of Hedging (And When Not To)
  • Psychological Takeaways After a Massive Loss

 

Financial Disasters: When Large Stakes Meet Bad Luck

 

When we asked these pros about their absolute worst betting loss, the answers ranged from multi-million dollar potential misses to straightforward, huge unit drops. It shows you that even the veterans are susceptible to massive swings when laying serious cash.

 

One bettor detailed losing $200,000 on a correlated parlay during Week 18 of the previous NFL season. That's more money than most people see in a year, lost on one set of correlated outcomes.

 

Another story was sharper, almost political, detailing a $67,000 loss on Donald Trump to win the presidency in 2020. Think about that bankroll management for a second. This bettor went to sleep with the outcome heavily favored, only to wake up to a catastrophic swing where the live odds flipped completely. They were confident, they went to sleep on a near-win, and woke up to a massive negative outcome. That transition from winning to losing overnight is what makes this particular sports betting loss so painful.

 

Here are some other significant financial hits mentioned:

  • One professional cited their biggest losing week overall was around $700,000, primarily from laying too much against Bryson DeChambeau winning the US Open.
  • A massive near-win was described where, had a player reached a tennis final, the bettor stood to win over half a million dollars at 200-to-1 odds. Falling short in the quarterfinal meant that potential massive gain vanished, feeling just as bad as staking and losing the principal amount.
  • Another pro mentioned losing on a series of New Year's Day college football games, starting the year 3-and-22, forcing an immediate bankroll adjustment downward.

 

It’s clear that the biggest financial losses often involve either staking too heavily on one outcome or having multiple large bets combine into a disastrous week.

 

The Difference Between a Big Bet and a Big Loss

 

We heard that sometimes the biggest loss isn't the biggest amount staked, but the biggest potential gain missed. Imagine having a 1500-to-1 same game parlay where the last leg needs a receiver to get 40 yards. The player had 28 yards coming into the final drive, down by a lot, needing one conversion for a million dollar win.

 

And then? For absolutely no tactical reason, facing no imminent tackle on third and 13, the receiver slid three yards short of the first down marker. Sliding instead of diving for the needed yardage cost the bettor a million dollars. That’s the kind of freak occurrence that sticks with you. It wasn't bad variance from the market. It was a conscious decision by the player that cost a fortune.

 

Tracking Down Those Haunting Bad Beats

 

While a $200,000 straight loss is crushing, often the sports betting loss that truly haunts a professional is something less linear, something that defies probability. This is where bad beats live.

 

The Unbelievable Prop Bet Squashes

 

One bettor described a tough Super Bowl experience this past year. He had two simultaneous, massive prop bets go wrong on the same drive:

  1. Under two and a half players to throw a pass. Kenny Pickett came in and threw an incomplete pass, hitting the first condition negatively.
  2. Immediately after, he needed a player to stay under eight and a half tackles. A meaningless tackle later put that player over the number.

 

Getting nailed on both sides of a prop market in quick succession during the biggest game of the year is psychologically damaging.

 

Another golf investment haunted a pro for years. Kyle Stanley had a five-stroke lead going into the final round of the 2012 Farmers Insurance Open. He only needed a double bogey on the final par-five hole to win. He was 100 yards out in the fairway. He spun the ball back into the water and lost. The reason it haunted him? He had already calculated the win in his head. He had mentally booked that massive profit before the result was official.

 

Extreme Statistical Improbabilities

 

Sometimes the universe conspires against you with ludicrous statistical sequences. Imagine needing a final-second college basketball play to hit a +4.5 spread cover. Oklahoma misses the final free throw. Iowa State sprints down, throws a three pointer, hits it at the buzzer to win the game by two points.

 

Here’s the kicker. The shot was taken visibly after the clock hit zero. People called the conference office. The Big 12 reviewed it and said that even though it was clearly late, it didn't change the *outcome* of the game (the winner didn't change), so they counted the three points. The bet lost because of a technicality *after* the game ending sequence concluded.

 

Critical Lessons When Handling Massive Upside Opportunities

 

If you're looking to avoid those massive near-misses, you have to study the psychology behind hedging and bankroll management relative to long shots.

 

One professional detailed a tennis parlay where he was seven out of eight legs correct, needing only a single set win from Dimitrov in the final match to cash a huge ticket. He was leaning toward hedging because the payout was so large.

 

He hedged, but not fully. He bet on the other player, Tsitsipas, to win 3-0. He only needed Dimitrov to win *one* set to secure at least part of the win. But Tsitsipas destroyed Dimitrov, winning 6-2, 6-3, 6-2. Dimitrov never stood a chance. The bettor lost his huge original parlay AND lost the hedge because he was too hesitant or cheap to hedge the entire potential win properly.

 

Think about it this way. When the odds are astronomical, the risk management must be perfect on the hedge. If you don't fully cover your exposure, you risk compound failure as seen in that tennis scenario.

 

Common Questions About Sports Betting Losses

 

What Does It Feel Like to Take a Six Figure Loss?

 

It hurts. Multiple pros admitted that while they try to mentally categorize it as 'just money', the sting lingers for days. One stated he tries to tell himself he’ll always get the money back, and in his experience, he always does. But believing that when you're staring at a massive deficit is incredibly difficult. You can't just flip a switch and feel fine about it. That unexpected, heavy financial drop creates real anxiety.

 

How Do Professionals Manage Their Bankroll After a Big Loss?

 

Unit size adjustment is key. If a bettor has a terrible starting streak, like one pro who started 3-and-22 in football, the immediate response must be to reduce the size of wagers. You go back to a smaller unit size to absorb the shock and rebuild confidence and capital. You don't chase the losses by betting bigger until you stabilize.

 

Is Betting on Unlikely Futures Dangerous?

 

Yes, if you stake too much. One bettor discussed backing a tennis player deep into a tournament at 120-to-1 odds. Even if the math suggests the odds are good, staking a massive amount on a long shot means you are tying up capital that could be used for higher probability situations. He learned that even with massive odds available, you shouldn't stake that much money according to the Kelly Criterion principles.

 

What Is the Worst Kind of Bad Beat?

 

Statistically improbable events are the worst. The college football scenario where a team scored twice in under 36 minutes of real time, involved multiple unlikely calls, and then used a bizarre two-point conversion against zero defenders to cover the spread perfectly illustrates this. Bad beats are usually 1% events. This was described as a sequence of 12 sub-3% events leading to the final outcome.

 

The Easiest Way to Start Learning From a Major Sports Betting Loss Today

 

Stop focusing only on the money lost and start focusing on *the decision made*. Did you break your own rules? Did you bet more than you allocated? Did you ignore a known factor? Every time you lose significant money, write down the pre-game rationale and the actual result side-by-side. This forces objective review rather than emotional aftermath.

 

Your Next Steps

 

We've heard some truly stomach-churning stories. The common thread linking the most painful moments isn't just the dollar amount, but the feeling of powerlessness—whether due to an opponent's strange behavioral choice, like sliding short of the sticks, or a market swing that happened while you were asleep. Remember the $67,000 swing on those political futures; it shows how quickly perceived certainty can vanish.

 

Take the time this week to review your own last five losing tickets. Don't skip the ones that felt 'unlucky.' Identify where you deviated from your plan. Were you chasing? Were you overconfident? The game is mathematical, but the execution is entirely human. If you want to survive the variance in this business, you must master the mental game, especially after taking a heavy sports betting loss. Go review those entries now before the emotion fades.

 

About Circle Back

 

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Episode Transcript



[00:00] Bad beats, tough losses, we've all had

[00:02] them. That includes professional sports

[00:04] betterers. In today's video, we are

[00:06] going to be asking a lineup of

[00:07] professional sports bers here in Las

[00:09] Vegas, Nevada, right here at the Circuit

[00:11] Resort and Casino, what is the worst

[00:14] loss they've ever experienced in sports

[00:16] betting. And a quick production note

[00:17] before we get started, you're in luck

[00:19] because this one is a two-parter. We're

[00:21] going to get them to answer their worst

[00:23] financial loss from a sports betting

[00:24] sense. And also, we're going to get them

[00:26] to describe their worst bad beat and the

[00:29] one that haunts them in the second part

[00:30] of this same video. Now, let's get into

[00:32] it. More financially geared. Okay.

[00:34] >> The worst betting loss I've ever taken.

[00:36] >> There's been a lot of them.

[00:38] >> Wow. Um, [music]

[00:39] >> I can give you a pretty good one that

[00:41] was most recent.

[00:43] >> Etche

[00:44] French Open 2023. It's not exactly a

[00:48] loss, but I had a very very large amount

[00:53] for him to reach the semi-finals and

[00:55] then for him to reach the finals at just

[00:58] I made it I think I forget the exact

[00:59] number. I made it like 40 to1 and it was

[01:01] like 120 to1 or something. And it was

[01:04] before I learned that in Kelly even if

[01:07] you have a massive bet on a long shot

[01:08] you're not supposed to actually stake

[01:10] that much. and his quarterfinal match

[01:12] versus Varev, he I think lost the first

[01:15] set, won the second set, and if he had

[01:18] made the semifinals, I think I stood to

[01:20] win like 150,000. And if he had reached

[01:24] the finals, so if he had won two more

[01:25] matches, uh, he stood to I I stood to

[01:28] win like well over half a million. It

[01:30] was like 200 to one to reach the finals

[01:32] or something. And I hate Zerv, too. So,

[01:35] it's one of these rare instances when

[01:37] you stand to win a huge amount of money

[01:40] and you get to bet against this guy that

[01:42] you hate. And he was an underdog. I

[01:44] think he was still about plus 220 or

[01:47] something going into the semis. So, not

[01:50] my biggest loss in terms of the amount

[01:52] staked, but when you stand to win so

[01:55] much money and you then don't win it, it

[01:58] feels like a massive loss. So, that was

[02:00] a tough one. I lost 200,000 on a par a

[02:06] correlated parlay for week 18 of last

[02:08] NFL season.

[02:09] >> Donald Trump to win the presidency in

[02:11] 2020.

[02:13] I lost $67,000. I don't think most

[02:16] people will say numbers.

[02:17] >> You're the second person to say number.

[02:19] >> Yeah, 67K. It was um at the time was I

[02:23] mean still I mean nobody wants to lose

[02:25] 67K, but it's a very very very big bet.

[02:27] I went to sleep at 1:00 a.m. and he was

[02:30] a minus 490 live and I woke up at 6 a.m.

[02:34] and he was a plus 490 live. And so I was

[02:37] um I was not happy about that one. You

[02:39] know, believe it or not, there isn't

[02:41] like one loss that I can think of that's

[02:43] like that stands out as the biggest. I

[02:45] mean, I'm trying to think of like our

[02:46] biggest losing weeks. I think our

[02:48] biggest losing week was maybe like

[02:49] 700,000 and it was I forget which golf

[02:53] tournament. think um like last year's US

[02:56] Open when when Bryson won and we laid a

[02:59] lot of Bryson not to win um that was

[03:02] certainly a bad one. I think there was

[03:05] one that was worse, but I honestly can't

[03:07] remember what it is. Like, you know, all

[03:09] these kind of golf tournaments kind of

[03:10] blur together over the years, but it

[03:12] certainly was was a golf tournament.

[03:14] Week one of last football season wasn't

[03:16] one loss, but I believe I started the

[03:18] year three and 22 or along those lines.

[03:23] Um, and I was moving up to like betting

[03:26] a different time of the week. And it was

[03:30] pretty brutal to start betting that

[03:32] different time of the week and then

[03:34] immediately have to go back uh to

[03:36] betting earlier. I mean, it wasn't I

[03:38] actually like at CLV the bets were fine,

[03:40] but just bankroll size had to go back

[03:43] down uh to an ear smaller unit. So, that

[03:45] was pretty rough. There's been there's

[03:47] been too many. Um every time I have a

[03:50] huge dollar loss, I try to say to

[03:52] myself, it's just money. I'll get it

[03:53] back. It's hard to even feel that. Like

[03:56] sometimes it just sticks. It lingers for

[03:58] days and days and days. And guess what?

[04:00] Every time I've gotten the money back.

[04:03] So, I I wish I could just believe it

[04:05] more than I do.

[04:06] >> I can give you a pretty good one that

[04:08] was most recent that was a pretty bad

[04:12] back-to-back loss. It was in the Super

[04:14] Bowl where this past year, I'll give you

[04:17] a couple of examples. This past year in

[04:19] the Super Bowl, uh Kenny Picket came in.

[04:22] I had under two and a half uh players to

[04:26] throw a pass and Kenny Picket came in

[04:28] threw that pass incomplete and then I

[04:32] think on one of the next plays I had the

[04:36] biggest I think it was probably the

[04:38] biggest prop bet I've ever betting bet

[04:40] on a player prop in the Super Bowl and

[04:43] the guy made a meaningless tackle to go

[04:46] over eight and a half tackles so I just

[04:47] kind of got squashed on both of those

[04:50] but the overtime in the Super Bowl a

[04:52] couple years ago with San Fran and uh

[04:55] was it San Fran and KC was just like an

[04:58] absolute monstrous swing that just

[05:00] totally crushed me.

[05:01] >> I'll define this as like a gain that I

[05:03] almost had uh because in some ways that

[05:05] is a loss.

[05:06] >> I uh I had a 1500 to1 same game parlay

[05:10] on on DraftKings in the uh NFC

[05:15] divisional round this past year and I

[05:17] needed Khalif Raymond to hit 40 yards.

[05:19] Uh that was my last leg and he had 28

[05:22] coming into uh the last drive and the

[05:26] the Lions were down and it is third and

[05:29] 13 if he gets the first down. He uh he

[05:32] catches this. There's like a minute left

[05:34] in the game. I'm probably the only

[05:35] person in the world who's who's really

[05:37] really really sweating this. Uh, and he

[05:40] catches he catches the ball and for no

[05:42] apparent reason slides on third and 13,

[05:46] three yards shy of the line instead of

[05:48] like diving for the first down. Uh, and

[05:51] the defense was not even trying to

[05:52] tackle him. Uh, and he slid for

[05:54] absolutely no reason. And that was the

[05:56] difference between uh, hitting a 1500

[05:58] to1 for for a million dollars.

[06:00] >> And now we're at that part two. I asked

[06:02] esports betterers, what's a bet you lost

[06:05] that still haunts you? The Oh, the Cavs.

[06:08] the Cavs futures losing losing to the

[06:10] Pacers was too brutal. I wanted to see

[06:13] what their price would have been verse

[06:15] the Celtics and I feel like an idiot

[06:18] every time I say that I was potentially

[06:20] still right on the Cavs because they

[06:22] lost to the Pacers. So, that one still

[06:24] haunts me.

[06:24] >> We had a bet on a college football game

[06:28] and I can't remember exactly how what

[06:31] the spread was. Effectively, one team

[06:33] was up by two touchdowns. Uh more than

[06:36] two touchdowns. the spread was like 16

[06:37] and a half and somehow 2 minutes in

[06:42] college football took 36 minutes to

[06:45] happen. So if you can imagine how many

[06:48] events, how many flags were thrown,

[06:50] twice where uh they didn't measure where

[06:53] the ball should lay and should not have

[06:55] been first downs. the insanity that

[06:58] ensued. I'm talking about something.

[07:01] There's like 12 or 13 sub 3% events to

[07:06] occur. I don't mean like in total. I

[07:08] mean each play and then the game ends

[07:11] like this. They score with two seconds

[07:13] left to go. Down three touchdowns. They

[07:17] line up to kick an extra point. The

[07:20] opposing team walks off the field

[07:23] because it's irrelevant. So, they switch

[07:25] to a two-point conversion formation and

[07:29] as the other team is walking off the

[07:31] football field, I believe there was one

[07:33] second or it was could have been zero

[07:35] seconds, they walked in the two-point

[07:38] conversion with zero men on the field on

[07:41] the other team and yeah, that the spread

[07:45] lost in that moment. So, when people

[07:47] talk about bad beats, this is they're

[07:50] not they're talking about 1% events. I'm

[07:52] talking about 12 events to get to that

[07:54] moment that were like sub two or three

[07:57] percent.

[07:58] >> One that I can think of is one of those

[07:59] action point bets from 20 plus years

[08:02] ago. The Hawaii Rainbows, it was a

[08:04] midnight game. Uh Timmy Chang was the

[08:07] quarterback. I still remember a lot of

[08:09] those guys. Big lead, huge action point

[08:11] bet. And then somehow they gave up a ton

[08:14] of points in the four fourth quarter and

[08:16] then I think it went to overtime. I

[08:18] think they let up a touchdown and then

[08:20] like a pick six or something and it was

[08:22] like a 35 point swing and then multiples

[08:25] of hundred do you know hundreds of

[08:27] dollars where it was just an absolute

[08:29] barrage.

[08:30] >> I guess as I was kind of coming up uh I

[08:34] because I wrote about this uh fairly

[08:37] publicly. I I had a bet on the Giants

[08:40] Vikings wildcard game. All right. It was

[08:43] a a Seaquin Barkley under Daniel Jones

[08:45] alt passing, Daniel Jones alt rushing in

[08:47] the Giants to win. And the legs all hit

[08:51] and I'm getting a lot of kind of

[08:53] congratulatory texts. I'm sitting there

[08:55] watching the game. I don't remember who

[08:57] was next to me. I don't remember if it

[08:59] was if it was family or friends and

[09:00] they're all going nuts. They know I've

[09:02] hit this parlay and I'm just like this

[09:04] hasn't hit. If the Vikings turn it over,

[09:09] Daniel Jones is going to take knees and

[09:11] that's going to take him from 81 rush

[09:13] yards down to 79 when I had 80 at that

[09:16] number. And lo and behold, the Vikings

[09:19] turn it over on downs. Daniel Jones

[09:21] takes two knees and I'm one yard shy of

[09:24] the parlay. Thankfully, I hit a big one

[09:25] the next night. But uh that was a tough

[09:28] one and and my first two,

[09:29] >> you know, I mean the bet that haunted me

[09:31] the most for years was and I' I've said

[09:33] this a lot in different places, but Kyle

[09:35] Stanley to win the 2012 Farmers

[09:37] Insurance Open when he he had a

[09:38] five-stroke lead going into the final

[09:40] round. Um he had a three-stroke lead

[09:43] going into the last hole, the easiest

[09:44] hole on the course. He just needed a

[09:45] double bogey to win. And he's in the

[09:47] fairway with a 100 yards out and two

[09:49] strokes on a par five and, you know,

[09:52] spins the ball back into the water and

[09:54] he ends up losing. And that was just one

[09:56] and I think the reason that it haunted

[09:58] me for so long was because at that point

[10:01] it was the worst beat I'd had like I

[10:04] think financially in terms of like the

[10:05] swing but also because it was like I had

[10:10] already calculated it as a win in my

[10:12] head like I had been sweating that final

[10:13] round and I was and but once we got to

[10:16] the last hole I was like he's got it and

[10:18] so it was just so unexpected and I had

[10:20] already mentally calculated it as a win

[10:22] and so I think I haven't really had

[10:24] anything as Like I' I've certainly had

[10:26] beats just as bad or worse since then,

[10:29] but I think that first one always sticks

[10:31] with you longer.

[10:32] >> The most improbable loss still remains

[10:34] to be betting a mistake line at BA years

[10:38] ago. That was supposed to be Jim Tomy

[10:42] over under two and a half hits, runs,

[10:44] RBI's, and they left off the R and it

[10:48] was o Jim Tomy over under two and a half

[10:51] home runs. Jim Tomy hit three home runs

[10:54] in a game just once in his career and it

[10:56] was that game

[10:58] >> still that still remains like an

[10:59] all-timer. Demetrov Tafo Wimbledon 2023

[11:05] I had I believe it was an eight-legg

[11:07] parlay of players all in all of these

[11:10] matches for both players to win a set.

[11:12] So best of five I just needed both

[11:14] players to win a set. I was seven out of

[11:15] eight and this was the last one and I

[11:17] was deciding whether I wanted to hedge

[11:19] out. Um, it was like minus 200, but I

[11:22] couldn't get a good line on the other

[11:23] side. So, I was like, uh, you know, I

[11:25] don't know. What I ended up doing was I

[11:27] hedged. I got a really good bet on de on

[11:29] Tafoa to win 3-0. So, all I needed was

[11:33] Dimmitrov to not win 30-0. Um, and of

[11:36] course, like open the match, just start

[11:38] watching it and Tafa just gets

[11:40] absolutely destroyed. It was like 62,

[11:42] 63, 62 or something. Never stood a

[11:44] chance. And I learned the hard way that

[11:46] if you are going to hedge, make sure you

[11:49] hedge the full thing because there is

[11:50] nothing worse than losing your bet and

[11:52] losing the hedge bet because you were

[11:53] too cheap to fully hedge the bet. The

[11:55] Eagles putting in their backup

[11:57] quarterback uh in that game was a tough

[12:01] one. Uh had under two and a half passers

[12:03] for the Super Bowl and in that same game

[12:06] I had a bunch of the under field longest

[12:08] field goal props and the Eagles kicker

[12:11] made one. Uh then it got which would

[12:14] have hurt me some but wasn't that bad

[12:16] but then it got brought back on a 5-yard

[12:18] penalty and he made the longer field

[12:20] goal then which killed me on like a half

[12:23] a dozen props. This one's rough. All

[12:25] right. Listen, these were unprepared and

[12:27] I remember the exact game day minute.

[12:30] Iowa State Oklahoma basketball 2020. I

[12:33] think it was January 2020. 4 seconds

[12:35] left. Oklahoma misses the free throw.

[12:38] Run down the court. Iowa State shoots a

[12:39] three. Hits it. The buzzer went off like

[12:42] a second and a half prior. People call

[12:45] the Big 12 commission and say, "Hey,

[12:47] like he did not get three off." Big 12

[12:49] says, "It doesn't matter. It didn't

[12:51] influence the outcome of the game. We

[12:53] don't care. The conference tournament's

[12:54] the same. We'll count the three." Lost.

[12:57] I think it was um Oklahoma plus 4 and a

[12:59] half. I say hit the three. They lost by

[13:02] two. Um, there was like an actual

[13:04] call-in complaint to the office as how

[13:07] bad this three was called good, but it

[13:09] didn't change the outcome of the game,

[13:10] so it didn't matter. It was one of the

[13:12] smaller bets I've ever taken, but like,

[13:14] man, it he took two dribbles after the

[13:17] buzzer. Like, it was unbelievable.

[13:22] >> [music]

 

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