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Shady Stat Corrections • The Worst Content • The Truth About Limiting | Presented by Kalshi

Circles Off

2025-12-19

 

 

 

 

The NBA Stat Correction Crisis After Bets Hit (Tested)

 

It's infuriating to watch a winning bet suddenly turn into a loss two days later because of an official statistician's tweak. You meticulously placed your wager, celebrated the win, and then your money vanishes. This situation sparks huge debates among bettors about fairness, timing, and what sports books are truly allowed to get away with when using official NBA stats.

 

We're breaking down a recent incident where official NBA stat corrections caused a parlay to lose 48 hours after it settled. More importantly, we are going to discuss whether there should be a hard time limit on how long books like DraftKings have to retrospectively change game outcomes. If you bet sports, understanding these rules is crucial for protecting your bankroll.

 

Here's What We'll Cover

 

  • The DraftKings 48-Hour Stat Correction Incident
  • Why Sports Books Insist on Using Official NBA Stats
  • The Argument for Setting a Time Limit on Corrections
  • How Agent Influence Shapes Sports News Narratives
  • The Debate Over Requiring Explanations for Player Limits
  • Why NFL Incentive Week Angles Are Already Dead

 

The NBA Stat Correction Policy and the 48-Hour Wait

 

The core issue involves a user who banked on Derek Jones getting six or more assists. The bet was graded as a winner, the parlay hit, and then, 48 hours later, DraftKings revised the official stat to five assists, voiding the win and taking the money back. When challenged, support cited their house rules, stating they follow the NBA’s official stats, not public box scores, and crucially, they confirmed there is no time limit for these resettlements.

 

Think about it this way. You're paid out. You might have already used those winnings or placed them somewhere else. To have that money clawed back two days later feels predatory, even if it is technically within the contract terms you agreed to.

 

What's interesting is the division this caused on social media. Some argued that sports books are not free rolling anyone and must adhere to the final verified results—which sounds fair on the surface. But then others pointed out the potential for abuse when there’s no defined window for correction. If a book can wait days, what stops them from doing it selectively?

 

Why Official NBA Stats Matter More Than Box Scores

 

Sports books universally lean on the governing body's final numbers, in this case, the NBA's official statistics. Why the fuss? Because the NBA has an official statistician whose determinations supersede initial reports, box scores you see on ESPN, or even what appeared on the broadcast. These official tallies are what the leagues and betting platforms rely on for integrity.

 

However, this leads to inconsistencies. The host noted that the person responsible for the initial recording, often a home team employee present at the arena, might be more lenient or simply quicker to credit an assist than the official league auditor who reviews everything postgame. My take, based on what I've seen, is that corrections are statistically more likely to be taken away than they are to be added on. If a player needs one more assist to make a parlay hit, bettors flood the league asking for retroactivity, which is annoying for everyone involved.

 

Should Sports Books Have a Time Limit on Stat Corrections?

 

This is where the conversation really took shape. If a bet is graded and settled, common sense suggests the transaction should be final, especially after a significant delay. The guest Isaac brought up that 48 hours is exceptionally long. If a losing bet had been retroactively turned into a win, we might never hear about it. The consensus leaned toward establishing a firm cut-off, with 24 hours being suggested as a reasonable boundary.

 

If DraftKings or any book wants to correct an outcome, they should be incentivized to do it quickly. Why wait? The customer fury generated by removing a win far outweighs the small potential financial gain on a single settled wager. But the major point is that the house rule currently allows indefinite review. This lack of specificity is what causes friction. If you find yourself in a winning scenario based on a stat that seems iffy, the hosts suggested: get your money out immediately. If the funds are gone, they can't be taken back.

 

The Influence of Agents on Sports Reporting

 

Shifting gears entirely, the discussion moved to how sports news gets distributed, specifically around player awards. A reporter amplified a narrative pushing a specific linebacker for Comeback Player of the Year, despite the player not even being remotely listed on betting odds boards for the award.

 

This leads to the feeling that major reporters are often fed information by agents in exchange for favorable coverage. It's not always a direct cash payment. It’s more transactional: "If you want the scoop, you have to carry water for this player." This phenomenon is present across the NBA and even in international sports like soccer. If you're an insider, you need access, and access means complying with the narratives agents are selling.

 

When these narratives are pushed by major accounts, it can even influence markets. If a top source tweets suddenly that a player is getting traded, the line moves instantly. While the Devin White example might not move the betting market much, the structural practice of agent-fed promotion is definitely alive and well in sports media today. We can't unsee it once we recognize the pattern of favorable coverage always flowing to those who collaborate.

 

Massachusetts Sports Books Face Limits Transparency Mandate

 

An interesting regulatory development came out of Massachusetts. Regulators advanced a rule forcing sports books, upon customer request, to provide specific explanations for why a bettor was limited, including listing the specific markets they are banned from.

 

This is a massive step toward transparency. Most bettors, especially novice ones, are shocked to learn that being a winning customer can get you booted or restricted. They often assume they did something wrong or illegal. Plus EV Analytics joked that the real fun will be watching the sports books write the "most asinine PR word salad" to rationalize their decisions. And they likely will.

 

My experience receiving vague feedback like "placing unfair wages" confirms this. The books want to avoid admitting limitations are due to sharp bettors correctly identifying off-market lines. They aren't going to tweet, "Sorry, you scraped the data better than our algorithm." They'll use vague corporate speak. However, the fact that this rule exists might make some books hesitant to pull the trigger on a limit as quickly, knowing they might have to publicly defend the action later. It shines a needed light on the practice of limitation itself.

 

NFL Incentive Week Angles Are Mostly Dead

 

Every year near the end of the season, content creators emerge claiming they have an edge because players are chasing contract incentives. The old angle used to be valuable, but now, the consensus among savvy bettors is that this edge is gone. Sports books are well aware of every performance metric and every bonus structure, and these nuances are baked into the lines, especially where player props or totals are concerned.

 

If you see a tweet highlighting that a player needs only 70 receiving yards to hit a $500,000 bonus, you are too late. The market has already adjusted. The veterans on the panel noted that the race now is just to see who can post this "dead angle" the earliest in the season just for clicks, not for genuine actionable information. If an edge exists involving NBA stat corrections or incentives, it’s likely found in less obvious places, like correlated alternate lines in same-game parlays or during live betting when algorithms briefly fall behind field chaos.

 

Common Questions About Stat Corrections and Limits

 

What Happens If A Loss Is Corrected To A Win After Payout?

 

This is the scenario that rarely seems to happen. If it does occur, the sports book is within their rights based on house rules, but the financial impact is frustrating for the customer who already spent or moved the funds. If you suspect a win might be overturned, withdraw your money immediately.

 

Should There Be A Universal Time Limit For NBA Stat Corrections?

 

Yes, most participants agreed. A window, perhaps 24 to 48 hours after the game closes, is reasonable for the league to finalize stats and for books to adjust. After that, the settlement should stand to protect bettors from arbitrary changes.

 

Why Do Sports Books Rely On Official NBA Stats?

 

They rely on the NBA's official auditor because these are the final, officially verified results that maintain the integrity of their relationship with the league itself. It provides a standardized, non-disputable source, even if it sometimes contradicts initial box scores.

 

Does This Regulation Force Sports Books To Reveal Real Reasons For Limits?

 

Probably not. They will default to vague phrases like "a trading decision" or "unfair wages." The regulation's main benefit is forcing the conversation into the open public view, which might temper how quickly they limit sharp bettors.

 

Can We Still Find Edges Related To Player Incentives?

 

For basic, widely reported incentives, no. Those lines are priced efficiently. You might find something on alternate lines in live betting, or by looking at futures markets earlier in the season before the noise starts, but week 17 hype about incentives is generally too late.

 

Your Next Steps

 

It’s clear that while sports books operate within published house rules, the lack of a time limit on NBA stat corrections creates a significant gray area that favors the book. The second major takeaway is that transparency in limiting bettors, while desired, will likely result in evasive corporate language rather than true insight.

 

Your action item is simple: familiarize yourself with the specific house rules of any book you use regarding stat adjustments. Don't celebrate a win until you are absolutely certain the clock has run out on potential official review periods. Demand clarity on limits, but don't expect easy answers. Keep your betting behavior smart and consistent, and focus on the consistent edges you can find rather than relying on last-minute lobbying for points or stats.




 

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Episode Transcript

 

[00:00] Disclaimer. The content presented in

[00:02] this show is intended for entertainment

[00:03] purposes only. All opinions expressed

[00:05] are those of the hosts and do not

[00:07] necessarily reflect the views or

[00:08] opinions of any individuals or

[00:10] organizations mentioned. Statements made

[00:12] about public figures or entities are

[00:14] based on publicly available information

[00:16] and are not intended to harm or defame

[00:18] any person or business. This show relies

[00:21] on fair use of social media posts which

[00:23] are presented in good faith for the

[00:24] purpose of commentary and criticism.

[00:26] Viewers and listeners are advised to

[00:28] form their own opinions.

[00:34] Is there something shady going on about

[00:36] the way the NBA is correcting their

[00:38] stats and the affiliation to sports

[00:40] books? We're back with the awful content

[00:43] around NFL incentive week and a real

[00:46] question about whether or not sports

[00:47] books should have to reveal why someone

[00:50] is getting limited. All this and so much

[00:51] more on today's circle back here on the

[00:53] circles off of channel which is part of

[00:55] the hammer network and proudly presented

[00:57] by Kshi. If you don't know this is the

[00:59] show where we cover the latest and

[01:01] greatest news that comes from gambling

[01:03] Twitter. We do it every Friday pretty

[01:05] much here with the Friday crew. We got

[01:08] Joey Kesh back for today. He is in the

[01:10] bottom right corner of the screen in the

[01:13] bottom left as normal. Nice for him to

[01:15] actually join us on a show at the Hammer

[01:17] this week and not no show. It's Mike aka

[01:19] Mr. for peanut better. And in the top

[01:21] right corner of the screen, it is Isaac

[01:23] at roundroin42 as our guest for this

[01:26] week. Isaac, back on the show. How you

[01:27] feeling?

[01:28] >> Great, great to be here. Just uh yeah,

[01:31] looking at Mike's bio, thinking how much

[01:32] of my bankroll I should bet on Anthony

[01:34] Joshua. I have no idea.

[01:36] >> And over to Mike. What What happened on

[01:38] the Hammer Daily? We were expecting a

[01:39] 12:05 Eastern time hit and a no show and

[01:42] no message. What happened? Uh uh any

[01:46] show that uh Jason is on as a host I

[01:49] figured was pretty much optional and

[01:51] that anybody can take that off at any

[01:53] time. So I think that's just kind of a

[01:55] wires got crossed there.

[01:56] >> You know I said to Jason he's not the

[01:58] type to just no show without messaging.

[02:00] But maybe that's how you treat me. Maybe

[02:01] there's respect for me but that respect

[02:02] doesn't go over to Jason and Kesh

[02:04] corporate party last week. Are you

[02:06] feeling nice and refreshed for today's

[02:07] circle back?

[02:08] >> Yeah, you know what? uh corporate Joey

[02:11] K. Uh had some uh you know things to

[02:13] attend to last week. Manager retired. So

[02:16] saw him out and um you now back back

[02:19] where I belong with the uh with people

[02:21] who don't have an actual job.

[02:23] >> All right. Well, you could say I may I

[02:26] don't know about myself. I am after all

[02:27] a creator and producer for the hammer

[02:29] host here on circle back.

[02:33] >> Right.

[02:34] And for the first topic today, uh, we

[02:36] have a conversation that was sprouted

[02:38] from this original post from Z the Go

[02:41] talk about how DraftKings took money out

[02:43] of out of his account 48 hours after a

[02:46] bet hit. And he says that shouldn't be

[02:48] allowed. It was a bet that involved

[02:50] Derek Queen's six plus assists. It was

[02:52] stack corrected apparently 48 hours

[02:54] later to five assists and therefore the

[02:57] parlay that won was now a loss and took

[03:01] it up with DraftKings support where they

[03:03] said that they go by the NBA official

[03:07] stats not by box scores like ESPN and

[03:11] when asked if there's any limitations on

[03:13] the amount of time after a bet is graded

[03:15] for stat corrections they said there is

[03:17] not. We update our house rules to

[03:19] include language about resettling bets

[03:21] when official stats are later corrected

[03:22] or vacated by the events governing body.

[03:25] This ensures outcomes always reflect the

[03:27] final verified results. Obviously, Zay

[03:30] the Goat was not happy a winning butt

[03:32] had now been turned into a losing bet,

[03:34] but it sparked a very large argument

[03:35] between Kenny, killy with two I's, one L

[03:39] on Twitter and big fan of the show the

[03:42] shipper at ship thejustice. So

[03:44] essentially, Kil Kenny kind of raised

[03:46] the issues that could arise when it

[03:48] comes to stat corrections and at least

[03:50] the amount of time it takes for stack

[03:52] corrections to take place and maybe

[03:53] hinted at some of the shitty practices

[03:56] that could exist with sports book with

[03:58] these sort of rules in place when they

[03:59] can sort of pick and choose days later

[04:01] to change a winning bet to a losing bet.

[04:04] The shipper did not see this side of the

[04:07] story. I don't need to exactly use the

[04:08] same language that he used, but he

[04:10] thought that it was not a problem at

[04:12] all. Not even in the slightest. No one

[04:14] is free rolling anybody and that none of

[04:17] it is predatory and the lines are as

[04:18] correct as the information can be by the

[04:21] at the time they are available. Books do

[04:23] everything they can to ensure good

[04:25] customers have good experiences. They

[04:27] hate that customers have negative

[04:28] experience like this. There is no

[04:30] solution though. So I wanted to go first

[04:32] of all to our responsible gaming

[04:34] advocate Isaac in the top right here. Do

[04:37] you feel like there is an issue at at

[04:39] play here with correcting a win to a

[04:41] loss and also maybe touch on how long it

[04:44] took for that correction to take place?

[04:46] >> Yeah, so definitely that the timing is

[04:48] is pretty unfortunate there. You know,

[04:50] we talked about this with other issues

[04:51] like I think I don't know if DK has it

[04:53] in their terms and conditions, but but

[04:55] 48 hours later is is really long. And

[04:57] yeah, I would be pissed too if you know,

[04:59] you make a bet, it's graded as a win,

[05:00] and then 48 hours later they tell you.

[05:02] Shipper is right in the sense that there

[05:04] is no easy answer here. The real

[05:07] question is like what happens if this

[05:09] goes the other way. As someone who has,

[05:11] you know, dabbled in some stat

[05:14] corrections or incorrect stats that are

[05:16] currently listed on some books, I've

[05:18] I've never seen a loser graded to a

[05:21] winner retroactively. Maybe it happens.

[05:23] It just hasn't happened to me. Um but

[05:25] but yeah, it's very it's very

[05:26] unfortunate, especially when you get

[05:27] these inconsistencies. And I can just

[05:30] say this is this is a good way to get

[05:31] your account cut if anybody does this.

[05:33] But obviously uh you know it can be an

[05:36] incredibly profitable spot if someone's

[05:37] got five assists and they're listed at

[05:40] having four assists and you can bet them

[05:41] to get six plus assists. Not saying

[05:43] that's exactly what happens here, but

[05:45] you know there are people and groups

[05:48] that just look for this, right? That are

[05:50] scanning at all times trying to find it.

[05:52] And when they do, they'll just smash

[05:54] these alt lines, smash any errors. And

[05:56] so if you're doing that, I think, you

[05:58] know, you don't really uh have any leg

[06:00] to stand on and you should kind of know

[06:01] what's coming. But if it's just a normal

[06:03] guy placing a bet, I can see why it

[06:04] would be very frustrating.

[06:06] >> When you talk about finding those sort

[06:08] of errors in stats, I feel like that's

[06:10] something that's up Mike's alley. Is

[06:11] that true? What do you think?

[06:13] >> No, I I'm kind of ashamed to admit I've

[06:16] never thought about that. That's I was

[06:18] literally uh making a note while he was

[06:20] talking to start looking for something

[06:22] like this. So

[06:22] >> So it is up your alley. Okay.

[06:24] >> Yeah, it's right up my alley. Uh, again,

[06:27] I've said this with the no big situation

[06:29] happened. The idea that these companies

[06:30] are free rolling you is insane. Do you

[06:33] think DraftKings wants this to happen to

[06:35] win these small amounts of bets? You're

[06:37] probably going to dump it back to them

[06:39] anyways. You We can talk about the shady

[06:42] things books do. They're certainly not,

[06:44] you know, they're not innocent in

[06:46] everything, but what I can say is I

[06:48] guarantee you that DraftKings is not

[06:50] waiting to make a stat correction 48

[06:52] hours later because they lost an SGP or

[06:55] lost some bet to another guy. But the

[06:58] only thing I will give him is I do think

[07:00] that we should end all corrections based

[07:02] on stat corrections uh to bets because I

[07:05] am so sick of seeing on my Twitter

[07:07] timeline somebody posting a video and

[07:09] saying NBA do the right thing. please

[07:12] give this guy another assist to make my

[07:14] SGP hit. So, if it gets rid of that,

[07:16] then I'm with a guy that we should no

[07:18] longer allow corrections.

[07:20] >> I I do feel some support for that to not

[07:22] have to see that happened anymore. Um I

[07:24] think Hitman used to do that a lot with

[07:26] NFL and there's stat correction. I I

[07:28] used to find errors and post a video.

[07:30] Hey NFL, you got this stat wrong. You

[07:32] credited this as a 37 yard game when it

[07:34] should have been a 38 yard game. Uh I

[07:36] could do with less of that. Kesh, what

[07:38] do you think on this topic?

[07:39] >> Yeah, you know what? I from a a customer

[07:42] perspective, I can see like especially

[07:45] if you hit something and then a couple

[07:47] days later they're taking it out. I see

[07:49] the B of like getting annoyed with it,

[07:51] upset about it. Do I think it's this

[07:53] massive scandal under thing like no from

[07:57] the from DK's I would be interested to

[08:00] see like I guess what's the swing here

[08:04] in terms of like pro P&L like how much

[08:08] was this cuz at that point I'm wondering

[08:11] like is it worth it? Is it 48 hours

[08:14] later? Now, if you're talking about

[08:15] during the game, right after the game,

[08:18] two days later, if we're not talking

[08:20] about like a massive swing where if you

[08:23] know everybody had they were where some

[08:25] huge SGP error or something like that,

[08:28] if it was just something that then I

[08:30] don't know if you're getting the bang

[08:33] for the buck in terms of the correction

[08:35] being worth the customer fury on this

[08:38] instance. So that's the only thing I

[08:41] would push back on in terms of like

[08:44] should this be done or should it not?

[08:45] Obviously there's no we're in the era of

[08:48] every that the script everything's fix.

[08:50] So that that is more just a general

[08:53] annoyance. Um but overall I don't think

[08:56] anything out of bounds happened here.

[08:58] It's just if it's it was Kenishi PPH and

[09:01] we're not talking about a huge amount of

[09:03] money uh then I probably would have just

[09:05] let this go uh if I'm DraftKings. But

[09:08] obviously they made the decision and

[09:09] then there you go.

[09:11] >> If I and I pay a lot of money for these

[09:14] sponsorships with the leagues, I'm going

[09:16] to tell the NBA, "Hey, can we get a move

[09:18] on on this stat correction thing? How is

[09:19] it taking the NBA, this multi-billion

[09:22] dollar organization, 48 hours to make a

[09:24] correction?" I mean, that's on them. So,

[09:26] I don't know why they're doing that, but

[09:28] >> that's that would be the number one

[09:30] story if I was DraftKings.

[09:32] >> Yeah, I agree with Mike there. when you

[09:34] know I don't think there's necessarily

[09:35] anything nefarious going on here but

[09:37] when you have those partnerships and you

[09:39] have like these discrepancies I think

[09:40] someone was talking about in the

[09:42] comments there about you know between

[09:44] the NBA and ESPN and you have people

[09:46] betting on these things there really

[09:47] needs to be some consistency the other

[09:49] thing to keep in mind is like especially

[09:50] with DK more than any of the others they

[09:52] don't even really let you bet on under

[09:54] props right so it' be interesting to see

[09:56] like the split between when the stat

[09:58] corrections go over versus under like

[10:00] for in-game SGPs I don't even think even

[10:02] like the best accounts can't get more

[10:04] than like a few hundred dollars in the

[10:05] unders. So like how often I know someone

[10:07] asked DK support they were like oh how

[10:09] often do you grade the other way and

[10:11] they're like oh we're not privy to that

[10:12] information like could be pretty easy to

[10:14] see. It'd be interesting to see like how

[10:15] often the stat corrections go up adjust

[10:17] upward versus adjust onward and and how

[10:19] that impacts draftings as P&L.

[10:21] >> So to that point the NBA goes in and

[10:24] corrects the home announcer afterwards

[10:26] with stat correction. So the first

[10:27] person who's doing it is the team

[10:30] employee who is going to be more likely

[10:31] to give the player the assist. So my

[10:34] guess is just based on that information

[10:35] be much more likely to be taken away

[10:37] than it would be to be added on.

[10:39] >> Yeah. I'll just say one thing for for

[10:41] the for the listeners who are trying to

[10:42] get an edge. Uh you know if you if you

[10:45] keep a very close eye on all the

[10:46] different books they will sometimes have

[10:49] different stat numbers. And I am always

[10:51] shocked that like, you know, if someone

[10:53] is at three assists instead of two

[10:55] assists, the odds on their like five

[10:56] plus assist line are just insane sort of

[10:59] how much that one assist matters. So if

[11:01] you're really keen on doing this and you

[11:02] don't care about burning some accounts,

[11:04] you know, keep them up and you have a

[11:06] live stream of the game that's really

[11:07] good, you can sometimes catch them off.

[11:09] >> In general on that, it's just finding

[11:11] something that like for live betting,

[11:12] it's very algorithm based on a sports

[11:14] book. Find something the algorithm is

[11:15] not going to account for. It's not going

[11:16] to account for an error on their stack

[11:18] keeping and things like that. But on

[11:20] this conversation, I do see an issue

[11:22] with DraftKings having like no time

[11:25] limit. They they said it specifically in

[11:27] the support conversation here. Uh Z the

[11:30] Goat asked, "Is there no limitations on

[11:32] of time after bet is graded for stat

[11:34] corrections?" They say there is not. I

[11:36] do see an issue with the length of time

[11:37] there. For me, as far as like the

[11:39] frustration, yeah, I'd be annoyed, but

[11:40] at the end of the day, it's in the House

[11:42] rules. I got to I got to like stick to

[11:43] my guns there. It's in the House rules.

[11:45] They're allowed to correct it. And the

[11:46] conversation with support kind of ends

[11:48] there. It's in the House rules, but I

[11:50] think you can open up a conversation in

[11:52] a place like this on should there be a

[11:54] time limit. Isaac, what do you think?

[11:57] >> Yeah, I think that it shouldn't be a

[11:58] house rule, right? Like it should be I

[11:59] would say probably 24 hours, maybe 48

[12:02] hours. It just it just seems ridiculous.

[12:04] I'll say one more thing. I've actually

[12:05] had this exact same thing happen on

[12:07] DraftKings before and I knew that they

[12:10] had messed up. I wasn't even trying to

[12:11] prey on it, but I had placed some bets,

[12:13] they messed up. I immediately withdrew

[12:15] the money. And in a similar situation, I

[12:17] got a very large negative balance and uh

[12:19] just never never put any more money into

[12:21] that account. Uh so you just gota gotta

[12:23] got to think about some of the long-term

[12:25] consequences there. But if you know that

[12:27] you got one over on them and you kind of

[12:29] don't and you really want that money,

[12:31] get it out ASAP. You can normally get it

[12:32] out in less than that 48 hours.

[12:34] >> They they can't take your money if

[12:35] there's no money in the account. That's

[12:37] what I've told people in the past. So

[12:39] agreed there. Do you guys agree on the

[12:40] 24 hours? You think that's probably the

[12:42] right right spot?

[12:45] >> Yeah, it seems reasonable. I I think

[12:47] that again I would be if I was

[12:49] DraftKings, I would urge the NBA to make

[12:51] their corrections within 24 hours.

[12:53] That's a reasonable time limit for them

[12:55] to make

[12:55] >> knowing the betting the amount of money

[12:57] bet into this. Yeah, that that also

[12:59] makes sense. A lot of sense being made

[13:01] here on the show. That is the first

[13:03] topic in the books. If you're enjoying

[13:05] so far, make sure you do hit the like

[13:06] button. If you don't think we're making

[13:07] sense at all, maybe you disagree with

[13:09] something, you can consider commenting

[13:10] something down below whether you agree

[13:11] or disagree with anything you see or

[13:13] hear during the show at all. And if

[13:15] you're on YouTube, consider subscribing

[13:16] to the channel. Keep driving us up.

[13:18] Let's finish 2025 on a very strong note.

[13:22] But we're going to shift gears. We're

[13:23] going to go into some NFL discourse here

[13:25] because there was something brought up.

[13:28] It was a tweet by Ian Rabport at

[13:30] Rabbshet who posted this on Twitter. He

[13:32] said it's been a challenging year in Las

[13:34] Vegas, but the Raiders have some success

[13:35] stories such as linebacker Devin White

[13:38] is a big one. He has emerged a potential

[13:39] comeback player of the year candidate.

[13:42] With one sack, White could join Deario

[13:44] Davis as one of the two players in 2012

[13:46] to get 700 plus tackles and 25 sacks.

[13:48] So, these sorts of posts come up a lot

[13:51] where it feels like it's more so fueled

[13:53] by maybe payment behind the scenes. This

[13:57] was directly pointed out by Jared Smith

[13:59] Betts who said, "Classy example of how

[14:00] the how the NFL newsmaking sausage is

[14:03] made. Big accounts are fed scoops from

[14:05] agents. In exchange, they get requests

[14:06] to post propaganda like this, lobbying

[14:08] for a player to win comeback player of

[14:09] the year, who isn't even listed on the

[14:11] odds board." Devin is also in a contract

[14:14] year, which kind of adds to the story. I

[14:16] pulled up Koshi's comeback player of the

[14:17] year winner market, which we actually

[14:19] talked about on the Monday show as well,

[14:21] but made sense for this one here. They

[14:23] have a lot of players listed and if you

[14:25] squint really close and zoom in, you

[14:28] still won't see his name because he's

[14:29] not at all listed here. I wasn't able to

[14:32] find him listed anywhere. So, it does

[14:35] feel like this was fed by an agent. Rap

[14:39] sheets getting a little bit of money

[14:40] behind the scenes. We see this in I

[14:43] think a lot of sports, Mike, but do you

[14:44] feel like this is a problem in in the

[14:46] way we're getting stories in sports now?

[14:49] So I I don't think that Raport is

[14:51] receiving money um for these for this

[14:53] favorable coverage. What I think he is

[14:55] getting is he's getting the best scoop.

[14:57] So he knows all the information because

[14:59] he's willing to give it out in the way

[15:00] that the agents want. You see this a lot

[15:03] uh in the NBA as well with WO being

[15:05] represented by CIA. It's amazing how

[15:08] much he took their side over someone

[15:09] else is just I'm sure as an arbiter of

[15:12] news there. So I you also see this with

[15:14] the Lane Keifin situation and there

[15:16] seemingly be a public effort by the CIA

[15:19] folks at ESPN to kind of take blame away

[15:21] from him. So this is one of those things

[15:24] as soon as you see it with uh agents and

[15:26] coverage it's something you can't unsee.

[15:28] Uh it is what it is. I don't know what

[15:31] the solution is. As long as everybody is

[15:33] looking for the fastest scoop and to be

[15:36] able to tweet information out first,

[15:37] it's going to go to the people who are

[15:38] most willing to carry water. So yeah, I

[15:41] don't know what the solution is. This is

[15:43] definitely happening all the time going

[15:45] back to uh Adam Sheper's uh Mr. Editor

[15:48] calling one of the agents of his story.

[15:51] So I think that this is going to happen.

[15:53] Uh as long as Twitter's out there as a

[15:56] resource and people want to tweet first,

[15:58] this is how the news is going to be

[15:59] broke.

[16:00] >> Feels it feels like an ad that's not

[16:03] actually an ad. That that's how I kind

[16:05] of treat it. Kish, uh you kind of nodded

[16:07] along there. Maybe not payment behind

[16:08] the scenes, but this is how they get the

[16:10] information that they're fed.

[16:12] >> Yeah. I don't think rap is actually

[16:14] they're not actually feeling them cash.

[16:15] It's just uh you know I scratch if you

[16:18] want the info you know that we're

[16:20] feeding you then uh you got to do slow

[16:22] something something like sauce up uh

[16:24] Devin who's having and all metrics a

[16:28] terrible year and now he's you know

[16:30] maybe comeback player of the year but oh

[16:32] no probably not. So, uh, I will say in

[16:36] recent years, it's probably gotten a

[16:38] little bit more shillish, uh, in in, you

[16:42] know, for from the big news guys where

[16:44] you used to, I mean, five plus years

[16:46] ago, maybe not even that. Uh, you used

[16:48] to never like see an agency tagged in

[16:51] any of these and then it started

[16:53] becoming more and more common place. But

[16:56] if you want I mean if you're an insider

[16:58] and you want the you gotta you got to

[17:03] sell the soul and uh so you know you got

[17:05] to be oh Devin White what a great year

[17:08] even if you know PFF's got him rated you

[17:10] know the the 282nd best linebacker in

[17:13] the NFL. Um it's part of the business to

[17:15] get the the info.

[17:17] >> I see this problem Mike mentioned NBA.

[17:19] see this problem very often in soccer

[17:21] with there's a the biggest the biggest

[17:23] reporter there is for Romano and and you

[17:26] can seriously tell so often when this is

[17:28] just getting pumped by the agent agents

[17:30] are being tagged directly as Kenish said

[17:32] it's not like genuine reporting it's

[17:34] like it's like writing an article for a

[17:36] company making it seem like a newsworthy

[17:39] article when in actuality it's an ad. Um

[17:41] Isaac, do you see any solution to some

[17:43] of this or this just part of the game at

[17:44] this point?

[17:45] >> Yeah, I think it's pretty silly. I just

[17:46] did a quick search on Twitter for uh

[17:49] Devin White comeback player of the year

[17:52] and I could not find a single thing

[17:55] before uh like three days ago. Literally

[17:57] no one's mentioned it. I saw it I was

[17:59] like oh his odds are what like 50 to1.

[18:00] He's like literally not even on the

[18:02] board. So yeah, pretty pretty

[18:03] ridiculous.

[18:04] >> I think there's probably got to be some

[18:05] accountability here especially when

[18:07] these things do move betting lines. Uh,

[18:09] in this case it doesn't even matter, but

[18:11] like you see some other ones where

[18:13] someone will tweet something and then

[18:14] immediately like a Shams tweet will just

[18:16] move the market massively whether it's a

[18:18] draft pick. Yeah, once again I don't

[18:20] think there's necessarily any mal intent

[18:21] here, but when you have the leagues in

[18:23] bed with the sports books, you got to be

[18:25] pretty careful about this stuff.

[18:26] >> It's interesting angle I didn't kind of

[18:28] I didn't kind of consider there because

[18:29] like if it was Sean's tweeting something

[18:31] like that, let's say in this case if he

[18:33] was listed um do you think that would

[18:36] have had market influence? Oh, surely.

[18:38] Especially when these guys like assume

[18:39] he was, you know, 80 to1 or whatever. If

[18:42] someone sees that tweet, he gets a few

[18:44] clicks. It doesn't take that much money

[18:45] to move these lines. Uh, so, so yeah, I

[18:48] think definitely something to keep in

[18:49] mind.

[18:49] >> Okay. Well, interesting. Devin White not

[18:51] listed on Cali for comeback player of

[18:53] the year, but there's a lot of other

[18:54] players listed. If you would want to

[18:55] take advantage of a market like this or

[18:57] any other market that they have

[18:58] available, you can do so by scanning the

[19:01] QR code that is on screen now or going

[19:02] to the links in the description anytime

[19:04] while you are listening or watching.

[19:06] Thank you to Koshi for being the

[19:07] presenting sponsor here on the circles

[19:09] off channel. We'll actually mention

[19:10] another KI market a bit later on in the

[19:13] show, but we'll keep it moving. It is

[19:16] that time of year everybody. You know,

[19:17] like when we get towards Christmas and

[19:19] like there's all the memes of like

[19:20] Mariah Carey, they're unfreezing her.

[19:22] She's back. Well, when we get to this

[19:24] time of year in the NFL season, that's

[19:26] when we get to unfreeze salts and people

[19:29] like that because NFL incentives, if you

[19:32] don't know this, I love the start of

[19:34] that. I don't know if you know this, but

[19:36] NFL players are fighting for key

[19:38] incentives this week. And you can take

[19:40] advantage in the betting markets and

[19:41] then post a bunch of bets. Uh we also

[19:43] have another one from Joe Hula. Most

[19:46] people haven't realized this yet. NFL

[19:49] players are fighting for millions in

[19:50] incentives. And yes, it matters in the

[19:52] betting markets. I mean, maybe it did a

[19:54] long time ago, but uh doesn't anymore.

[19:57] Blaze Bets points this out in a quote

[19:58] tweet. Says, "An important message for

[20:00] NFL bers. The sports books are well a

[20:02] aware of all information about

[20:04] incentives and have these incentives

[20:06] baked into their lines already. If you

[20:08] think you know something the books

[20:09] don't, you're greatly mistaken. At least

[20:11] in this scenario here, Hitman had a

[20:15] different sort of approach to where

[20:16] Blaze Bets wanted to give a more

[20:19] teaching approach like they know this

[20:20] already. Hitman just quote tweeted with

[20:23] idiot. Hitman not liking that one there.

[20:26] Uh Kesh, you're you're the most I'm

[20:28] putting this politely. You're the most

[20:30] veteran experienced of the gambling

[20:32] Twitter space compared to the rest of

[20:33] us. So, how long has stuff like this

[20:35] been going on? Does it make you sick at

[20:37] this point?

[20:37] >> Well, I mean, this used to be and I know

[20:39] what hitman's I mean, we used to bet

[20:41] them together. This used to be like one

[20:42] of the great angles there was when you

[20:44] know incentives week uh what was 17

[20:48] where like you know like oh my god and

[20:50] then people like sale came along uh and

[20:53] now now it's week six. They're not even

[20:56] waiting. I even saw someone got the jump

[20:58] on sale. It was some other Yeah, it was

[21:00] some other guy there where he got the

[21:03] quote tweet first and then of course

[21:05] sale said, "Oh, somebody's somebody's

[21:07] stealing my gig here on my street." Uh,

[21:10] now we're doing this in week 16 and then

[21:14] are going to be on 17 18 like this.

[21:16] Okay, this is the first year I've ever

[21:18] seen it like

[21:19] >> before last week of the season. Um, so

[21:23] it's just a race to the bottom here for

[21:26] guys that, you know, don't actually bet

[21:28] but are like, "How can I get clicks?"

[21:30] And in year people would be I remember

[21:31] you'd see some like rubes and years. Oh,

[21:34] thank you, S. Oh my goodness. I can't

[21:36] believe can't believe you're giving this

[21:37] information out for free. Uh, so um

[21:40] yeah, now now it's just I mean it's

[21:43] going to be like yeah the week one and

[21:45] they be like, "Oh, we only need you know

[21:47] 102 more catches to hit there." So, uh,

[21:50] tough to see, but this angle's been dead

[21:52] for years now.

[21:53] >> What what we should do with content is

[21:55] bring up these at the start of the

[21:56] season, say for futures markets. That's

[21:58] how you should approach. That's how you

[21:59] get in on it the earliest possible. Uh,

[22:02] Mike, I see you kind of chuckling with

[22:03] this one. Uh, I'm sure you're not fond

[22:05] of this content either.

[22:07] >> So, I'd push back against Blaze Bet

[22:09] saying that everything is priced in and

[22:10] they know like whatever you think you're

[22:12] finding, the sports books don't. I the

[22:15] reason they know is usually because I I

[22:17] guarantee you sports backs are putting

[22:19] these lines up without knowing and then

[22:21] getting hit a couple times very quickly

[22:22] and then moving. I mean, maybe they'll

[22:24] know some of them, but they're not going

[22:25] to know every player's incentive for the

[22:28] most part. Uh maybe now it's getting so

[22:30] much attention they will, but there's

[22:32] definitely leaks where you can find

[22:33] spots uh that are available. Like you

[22:35] said, the futures thing is honestly

[22:37] something where if they do have some

[22:39] kind of market that's like less

[22:43] um I'm trying to think the that's less

[22:45] obvious where you can find incentives,

[22:47] there might still be stuff there. Um

[22:49] yeah, I if you're going for the most

[22:51] basic, this guy needs 73 yards, then of

[22:54] course it's already priced in. Um where

[22:56] I would look is stuff like alts, stuff

[22:58] like SGPS where it might not be

[23:00] correlated correctly. Uh there's still

[23:02] going to be weird stuff to find

[23:03] available, but once it's posted on

[23:06] Twitter like that, it's no longer going

[23:07] to be easy to find.

[23:08] >> Isaac, anything to add from you?

[23:11] >> Yeah, it's crazy like how many people

[23:13] send me this stuff, right? Like it's

[23:15] like shocking to me. I see it, I'm like,

[23:16] "Oh, this is a joke." And then I'll have

[23:17] five different people send me it. And I

[23:19] just it's hard to like how do you get

[23:21] across to someone that if you are seeing

[23:23] this on a TikTok with 500,000 views, it

[23:26] is almost certainly not an edge. To

[23:28] Mike's point as well, I think there's

[23:30] like I've done some stuff like this

[23:31] live. Sometimes sort of the the live

[23:33] models will reset and let's say, you

[23:35] know, someone needs or whatever like 80

[23:37] yards for, you know, whatever and they

[23:40] start the first half, they only get like

[23:41] two yards, then the the live line might

[23:43] be good. It might not be good,

[23:44] obviously. Uh but, uh, yeah, some good

[23:47] thing to keep in mind when you're sort

[23:48] of live betting as well. I NFL is not my

[23:50] thing so I'm not an expert there but uh

[23:52] yeah always look at as Mike said the

[23:54] alts the live lines and have some idea

[23:57] of what the fair price should be and you

[23:58] know sometimes you can just line shop

[24:00] around and see massive variation and

[24:02] that can be good as well.

[24:03] >> So the problem hosting and going last I

[24:05] was going to say the same thing. I feel

[24:06] like you're more you're better off

[24:07] looking in the live markets near the end

[24:09] of a game. So, like for example, last

[24:12] season, Mike Evans, the last the game

[24:14] was was done. Last drive of the game for

[24:16] the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, they threw

[24:18] four straight passes to Mike Evans to

[24:20] get him over his 1,000 yards in the

[24:22] season. Something like that. Maybe it is

[24:24] priced in, but again, is this something

[24:26] that a live betting algorithm is going

[24:27] to be picking up? Probably not when they

[24:30] could maybe just kneel out the game or

[24:32] just run out the clock essentially. So,

[24:34] >> or or like take advantage

[24:36] >> like a couple weeks ago, you know,

[24:38] LeBron's got four points in the fourth

[24:39] quarter. You just hammer the 10, right?

[24:41] Because of course, it's going to get 10

[24:42] points. So, uh yeah, sometimes doesn't

[24:44] always go right.

[24:45] >> Did you do that?

[24:46] >> Yeah, I did on the day on the night it

[24:48] went under.

[24:49] >> I was close. Uh I was looking at it, but

[24:51] it wasn't I didn't I it was like priced

[24:54] correctly to me. I guess maybe you

[24:56] thought differently. Maybe we saw it at

[24:58] different times, but I think he had like

[24:59] six and it was like minus 250 and I was

[25:01] like, uh, he's probably going to shoot

[25:04] for it, but probably not the price that

[25:06] I need there. But anyways, something

[25:07] that the exactly something the algorithm

[25:09] may not be picking up is there's another

[25:11] example of it there. Before we go any

[25:13] further, you probably already know that

[25:14] we have a Discord here at the Hammer

[25:16] Network, but let me tell you a little

[25:18] bit more about it. We know the Hammer is

[25:20] truly like a family. Familiar faces,

[25:22] inside jokes, and the one person that

[25:24] everyone likes picking on. Well, here's

[25:26] your chance to continue the

[25:27] conversation. Join our new Hammer

[25:29] Discord. A chance for us to discuss all

[25:31] the games and news, share our favorite

[25:33] bets, and interact with your favorite

[25:34] Hammer creators. Discord.gg/hammer

[25:37] to join now or visit a link in the

[25:39] description. Next topic comes from

[25:41] originally Ryan Butler at Bututler, who

[25:43] says that Massachusetts regulators have

[25:45] advanced a rule requiring sports books

[25:47] in the state that limit betterers to

[25:49] give specific explanations as to why and

[25:52] a list of markets in which they are

[25:54] banned. So essentially saying that sport

[25:56] that Massachusetts are considering

[25:57] implementing something that sports books

[25:59] have to reveal why somebody is getting

[26:01] limited on their platform. They need to

[26:02] be alerted specifically why they're

[26:03] getting limited. They need to be alerted

[26:05] specifically as to what markets they are

[26:07] being limited from. And the first thing

[26:09] that I thought when I read this was the

[26:12] same thing that Plus EV Analytics

[26:13] tweeted here. It was in a quote tweet to

[26:15] R. Lahan senior or SR saying that

[26:18] Massachusetts is doing this. Plus TV

[26:20] analytics say I'm excited to watch the

[26:22] competition for which book can come up

[26:23] with the most asinine PR word salad for

[26:27] quote reason why the limit is in place.

[26:30] So I'll go over to you Isaac. Um think

[26:33] you'd be best served to lead off on this

[26:35] one here. Do you think it is positive

[26:37] for the space for sports books to have

[26:39] to reveal this information on limits?

[26:42] >> Yeah, I mean I think transparency is

[26:43] almost always a good thing, right? So

[26:45] the the policy is probably good as you

[26:48] said. And I'm very curious to see what

[26:49] they say. I think I'm I'm particularly

[26:51] interested to see sort of how they how

[26:53] they break it down by market as someone

[26:55] who has been known to be sharp in some

[26:57] things and very not sharp in others.

[26:59] I've had plenty of accounts where, you

[27:01] know, certain things I'm allowed to bet

[27:02] on and certain things I'm not. So just

[27:04] imagine DK being like, "Yeah, you know,

[27:06] you're not allowed to bet on tennis, but

[27:07] go crazy on NFL. Do whatever you want."

[27:09] I, you know, it's probably not going to

[27:11] make much of a difference if

[27:12] Massachusetts is the only state that's

[27:14] doing this and it's going forward. you

[27:15] know, most people have already been

[27:17] limited there, but uh yeah, I can tell

[27:19] you I'll be texting some friends in

[27:20] Massachusetts and and and giving them

[27:22] some good bets to place just so we can

[27:24] get limited and so we can get a a peak

[27:25] at what those uh what those messages

[27:27] will be like. I'm not sure how quickly

[27:28] they have to implement this, but I'm

[27:29] excited to see them.

[27:31] >> And how about you, Mike? Do you think

[27:32] that this would be good for sports books

[27:34] to take on?

[27:35] >> I I just want to know whose bets Isaac

[27:37] is sending to these people to get them

[27:38] limited. It's certainly not his, so I

[27:40] got I got to figure out who's he's

[27:42] getting to send them. But I don't I do

[27:44] think it will provide there's a lot of

[27:47] people whenever you talk to them there

[27:48] are so many people they're very

[27:50] surprised that sports books get to limit

[27:51] people. Um I talked to my normie friends

[27:54] about it and I was explaining the

[27:55] process and they're like they just are

[27:57] like bamboozled. They're like wait

[27:58] that's not allowed like why are you

[28:00] getting kicked out? They think I'm doing

[28:02] something nefarious or wrong. So, I do

[28:05] think that having them have to write it

[28:07] out, like Plus EV said, they're just

[28:09] going to put up some word salad, but it

[28:11] will be interesting kind of how much

[28:14] more publicity it gets that people now

[28:16] that they have to explain why they're

[28:17] doing it.

[28:19] >> How about you, Kesha?

[28:20] >> I am kind of fascinated to see how this

[28:23] plays out. I think there's a actually

[28:24] way to do it which would I mean you kind

[28:27] of know already when you're there but

[28:29] having to see you know like ah I hit

[28:31] something that but I'm interested to see

[28:33] what some of the c if nothing else

[28:36] probably going to make for some good

[28:37] content you know what I'm saying like

[28:39] tweet tweeting be like oh you know so um

[28:41] I mean it's not going to change anything

[28:43] re in terms of like like the logistics

[28:45] of it but I don't mind it and uh kind of

[28:48] excited to see what some of the

[28:49] responses come up with. So, I feel

[28:51] >> I'm curious also, sorry, I'm curious if

[28:54] they have like different messages or if

[28:56] they have the same one. So, for example,

[28:58] I'm thinking of I'm thinking of bet 365

[29:00] here where they send you the classic

[29:02] email where you're just like and

[29:03] everybody gets the exact same one when

[29:05] you're limited. Like, I'm curious, you

[29:06] know, if you're hitting super offmarket

[29:09] props versus you're just like getting a

[29:11] lot of CLV, like whether it's going to

[29:12] be one can message. I think it's

[29:14] probably going to be versus like some

[29:16] differentiation, but but we'll see.

[29:18] Mike, what do you think?

[29:19] Yeah, they're just going to go ahead and

[29:21] say like as brief as possible, as little

[29:23] information as possible. What is I don't

[29:25] know how they're going to regulate like

[29:27] what is telling the reason like they can

[29:29] give the most vague reason possible. You

[29:30] know, uh it was it's been a trading

[29:32] decision. Like that won't actually say

[29:34] anything. So, the more I think about it,

[29:36] the more I understand that this is going

[29:38] to be incredibly boring in the response

[29:40] they get. It's not like they're going to

[29:41] be like, "Hey, listen. You hit a line

[29:43] that was way off market. You shouldn't

[29:45] be scraping uh odds jam." It's not like

[29:47] they're going to give real reasons. are

[29:48] going to give the most vague uh you know

[29:51] cover their ass reason they can.

[29:52] >> That's why I think this is more like

[29:54] would it would be more infuriating than

[29:56] anything which I don't think this is a

[29:57] very good idea and I feel pretty unique

[29:58] in this scenario because I actually have

[30:00] experience receiving as plus analytics

[30:03] puts it the most asinine PR word salad.

[30:06] So I do content beyond just a hammer. I

[30:08] do like my own side stuff on a YouTube

[30:10] channel and on that YouTube channel a

[30:12] sports book is trying to sponsor my

[30:14] YouTube channel. Undisclosed Sports was

[30:15] trying to sponsor my YouTube channel and

[30:17] it's a sports book in which I had like

[30:19] pennies for limits. I couldn't bet there

[30:21] at all. They wanted me to do uh some

[30:23] collab bets to put up on the platform.

[30:25] And my issue was I didn't want to do

[30:27] collab bets. I literally wasn't allowed

[30:29] to bet. So, I asked the team that

[30:31] reached out to me if they could talk to

[30:32] the traders to get the limits taken off

[30:35] of my account to try and be able to bet

[30:37] on there again. And they provided me the

[30:40] word essentially that the trading team

[30:42] informed them. It was I I I could I

[30:43] tried to find the exact test message,

[30:45] but I guess it's gone now. But it was

[30:47] something along the lines of placing

[30:48] unfair wages. And now granted, like I'm

[30:50] I'm betting top down. I understand

[30:52] completely why I was limited. I don't

[30:53] need them to tell me why I'm being

[30:55] limited. But it was something lines of

[30:56] unfair wages, which is just for them me

[30:59] picking off offmarket numbers. So I

[31:01] imagine if this is put into place,

[31:04] that's what people are going to get

[31:06] making unfair wages or something along

[31:07] the lines of that. Um, you know, they

[31:09] did actually take off limits on my

[31:11] promos on on promotions, but not for for

[31:15] uh regular straight betting. So, at

[31:16] least I got a little bit of juice back

[31:18] into that account from that

[31:18] conversation. But I don't see this

[31:20] having any benefit at all. In fact, I

[31:22] think this is this is a negative for the

[31:24] industry if something like this comes to

[31:25] play because it just won't do anything.

[31:26] It'll just, I think, make people more

[31:29] upset. So, we'll see. We'll see if uh

[31:32] anybody follows this practice. But I I

[31:34] think even now that I think about it,

[31:36] like Mike pointed out, uh people

[31:38] couldn't believe that people like get

[31:40] limited, you know, like it's just, you

[31:43] know, Sportsbook puts out market, you

[31:45] should be able to bet what you want on

[31:47] the market that they're putting out.

[31:48] Would this not like would this not kind

[31:50] of attract attention to the fact that

[31:53] you can get limited on Sports? I feel

[31:54] like that should be information they

[31:55] don't want to come out like very much to

[31:58] like the public.

[31:59] >> Yeah, 100%. That's why I do think that

[32:01] there is probably some good that comes

[32:04] from this is the fact that this will

[32:06] have to be talked about more. And if

[32:08] you're a sports book and you're like,

[32:09] "Ah, we don't want to deal with it."

[32:11] You're maybe less likely to pull the

[32:12] trigger quite as fast.

[32:14] >> I don't know. I don't think it will do

[32:15] much, but I don't think that it will do

[32:18] a ton of bad necessarily. So,

[32:22] only upside, I guess.

[32:23] >> All right. Well, let's transition now.

[32:25] We'll get into the comments from the

[32:26] previous week show. We like to feature

[32:28] comments that we got on the previous

[32:30] week's edition of the show. So if you

[32:31] have a take, you have a comment, make

[32:33] sure you leave it down below on YouTube

[32:34] and maybe you'll feature next week on

[32:37] actually there's no surprise. There's no

[32:39] Circle Back Friday next week because

[32:40] it's Boxing Day, but we do have

[32:41] something special coming next Friday. We

[32:43] have an endofear special which we'll

[32:45] talk a little bit more about on the

[32:47] Monday show. So stay tuned for that. You

[32:48] want to be subscribed to the channel,

[32:50] but we still like to hear your comments

[32:51] nonetheless. Anyways, first comment

[32:53] comes from Sick Money08. says, "Arguing

[32:56] with Zilbert is the pigeon analogy to a

[32:59] tea." And that's why you just got to

[33:01] mute him and you just got to let it just

[33:03] let it pass you by. But there's some

[33:05] people out there, Mike, you say he's

[33:07] like the goat. There's some people out

[33:09] there who just cannot help themselves.

[33:11] People in very large positions cannot

[33:13] help themselves but argue with it. What

[33:15] What is it about his game?

[33:17] >> I've been gassing up Zilbert since day

[33:19] one, getting him on my side. So,

[33:21] whenever I need somebody to go in and

[33:23] bother someone else that I don't think

[33:25] is, you know, doing things right, I have

[33:26] Zilbert ready to go. Uh, me and the cat

[33:29] are partners and I think he's the king

[33:31] of gambling Twitter. If anything, I

[33:33] think he should be uh, you know, maybe

[33:34] we should try to get him into other

[33:36] media platforms and see how he does.

[33:38] Nah, I take that back. I think Zilbert's

[33:40] better in small doses. I Let's keep him

[33:42] on Twitter only.

[33:43] >> Well, he was on a media platform for a

[33:45] period of time that for some reason he's

[33:48] not there anymore or he's on leave or

[33:50] something. I I forget what the exact

[33:52] exact term is, but he's on leave. He's

[33:53] not doing content anymore. Um, but

[33:56] Isaac, what do you what do you think on

[33:58] Zilbert?

[34:00] >> Yeah, I'm I'm a big fan of the mute

[34:02] button for uh for any any any people who

[34:06] uh you know, you don't find their

[34:07] comments or or their their commentary

[34:09] too enjoyable, you just you just mute

[34:11] mute them and you'll never hear from

[34:12] them. It's great. Exactly. You move on.

[34:14] Except I get tagged in I get tagged in

[34:16] like all all the wrongdoings. Now the

[34:18] issue is I'm getting tagged and

[34:20] everything which like great. It's funny

[34:22] guys but like you got to leave me alone

[34:24] with this stuff too. I'm trying to just

[34:25] >> Yeah, you were you were getting tagged

[34:27] asking why I I had certain people muted

[34:29] or blocked. That was those are my

[34:31] favorites.

[34:32] >> Yeah, for sure. Uh next comment comes

[34:34] from Andrew W who says Chiron Moore will

[34:37] be back. Two words, Bobby Petrino. Uh

[34:41] kind of wanted to get your take on this

[34:42] one. Kesh uh res native. You think he's

[34:45] coming back?

[34:46] >> When this all went down the day it up, I

[34:48] was like, "Ah, he's done for." Then I

[34:50] had about like 48 hours to marinate on

[34:52] it and I was like, I saw the Harbaugh

[34:56] comment and I was like, you know what?

[34:58] He's probably like an offensive analyst

[35:00] for the Chargers in two years. Like it

[35:02] just the NFL I I think college he's

[35:05] probably toast. Getting an NFL job. He

[35:08] was a pretty good offensive line coach.

[35:11] Uh, I mean, the crash shot IF WITH NO

[35:13] CRASH OUT, he'd probably have a job in

[35:15] like a week in the NFL. The crash out

[35:17] looks bad, but as soon as like the the

[35:20] Chargers or the discipline are over

[35:21] with, um, yeah, I could see him back in

[35:24] an NFL gig. There's always another job.

[35:26] Our prile's got another job. Like, it's

[35:28] just one of those, especially in today's

[35:30] world where the news cycle is like this

[35:33] maybe, I don't know, 20 years ago, then

[35:35] it would have been like no. Nowadays,

[35:37] people be like, "Oh, Chiron Moore was

[35:39] like a year." So yeah, I think he I

[35:41] think he's back in. Got to got to let

[35:43] the the heat cool down, but a year or

[35:47] two he'll be back.

[35:49] >> The difference between Bobby Betrino and

[35:51] Art Briles and Chiron Moore is that Art

[35:54] Briles, for all his flaws, is a good

[35:56] football coach. Chiron Moore, the worst

[35:59] crime he did was to Bryce Underwood's

[36:01] development in my eyes. I mean, I think

[36:03] that there's no I mean, maybe I should

[36:05] say there's no way. Maybe he gets a job

[36:06] as an analyst like you said in the pros,

[36:08] Joey. uh he knows a lot of people, but

[36:11] the difference between him and Patrino

[36:13] is success on the football field, which

[36:15] sadly is um maybe the most important

[36:17] part of all this.

[36:19] >> And the last comment that we have comes

[36:21] from at ACL tear 7. This is in reference

[36:23] to something you said last week. Mike,

[36:25] you you took issue with Michigan

[36:27] apparently knowing about the situation

[36:28] with Shiron Moore but not revealing it

[36:30] until after they were signing players to

[36:33] their school for the upcoming season.

[36:35] And you said that this was kind of

[36:36] putting the kids are getting signed

[36:38] second. There is a disagreement here

[36:39] with ACL tear 7 saying, "I think we got

[36:41] to take a step back with the kids are

[36:43] being put second. Yeah, they're young,

[36:45] but they're grown men at this point.

[36:47] Undoubtedly, they have attempted to

[36:48] manipulate football programs throughout

[36:50] the recruitment process. There are very

[36:52] few innocent people in this sport." Uh,

[36:55] how do you feel about this comment?

[36:56] >> So, the argument is that the these uh

[36:59] 17-year-olds in high school are

[37:01] manipulating uh these giant

[37:03] universities. Like, give me a give me a

[37:05] break, man. Like, what are you talking

[37:07] about? Uh yeah. Yeah. I just to me it's

[37:10] insane these kids and that's not a

[37:12] Michigan thing. These kids have always

[37:14] been kind of taken advantage and you

[37:16] know done whatever. I understand that

[37:18] players also when they have the power do

[37:21] something similar. I think that we

[37:23] should ask more of our universities uh

[37:25] than we do of 17year-old high school

[37:27] football players.

[37:30] >> And how about you Kesh? Do you think

[37:31] there was any issue in what Michigan are

[37:33] doing there?

[37:34] >> Nope. Seems fine to me. Of course. How

[37:38] about Isaac? Uh, more neutral party.

[37:41] >> Do you even know we're discussing here?

[37:43] >> No. No comment. No comment. I'll leave

[37:45] this to the the big boys.

[37:47] >> All right. We'll progress with the show

[37:48] then. We'll get into the next main topic

[37:51] on the show, which comes from franchise

[37:53] KF saying, "I would love to charge and

[37:56] challenge any and everyone to Raw Dog

[37:58] the Bowl slate from December 22nd to

[38:01] 27th. No bets, no DFS. Just try to watch

[38:04] all 16 games. quite possibly the worst

[38:07] oneweek stretch in bowl history. Kenish,

[38:10] um, is there a problem with this stretch

[38:12] of bowl games here?

[38:13] >> I got to tell you, I we taped this on

[38:16] Thursday. I let I got into the ODU South

[38:19] Florida game last night for about four

[38:22] possessions. I saw two possessions

[38:24] either way. I saw the quarterback play.

[38:26] I said, "I'm out." Tuned back in later

[38:29] to the Delaware UL game. soon as the

[38:32] ullll quarterback I was on Louisiana got

[38:34] hurt was banged up Delaware takes a lead

[38:37] I was out I haven't made it through a

[38:39] full bowl game yet um so no I will say I

[38:42] had one of the worst mistakes of my

[38:44] entire life was LIKE OH YOU KNOW AND hit

[38:46] the books a few years ago was like oh

[38:48] you know what you get to watch them

[38:49] stand alone you get to no awful wrong as

[38:53] wrong as I've been in my entire life uh

[38:55] this bowl season now has turned and you

[38:58] see team the only thing I'll say is if

[39:01] you're a diehard, you might see some

[39:03] guys, if you're like a diehard USF fan

[39:05] or something or die hard, you might see

[39:07] some like guys who you didn't see play

[39:09] all year like, "Oh, we're going to empty

[39:11] the bench or I don't know if you're

[39:13] related to some of these people." You're

[39:14] like, "Oh, we get to finally see little

[39:16] Johnny uh you know, play get make a

[39:18] tackle or something like that." In terms

[39:20] of watchability,

[39:22] horrific. It's gotten as bad as I can

[39:25] ever remember. Uh and bowl season is in

[39:29] terms of a product you want to see dead.

[39:31] Put the final nail in the coffin. Dead.

[39:34] >> Mike big college football enjoyer. Do

[39:36] you agree with Kenishh?

[39:37] >> I watched the entire USF Old Dominion

[39:40] game last night. So yeah, I was ready to

[39:42] pounce when that third string

[39:44] quarterback for USF came in uh and

[39:46] looked like he couldn't complete a

[39:47] forward pass. So it's a great betting

[39:49] opportunity if you like live betting. If

[39:51] you think you uh you know exist on ball

[39:53] knowledge is uh what you rely on to win

[39:56] your bets. Live betting these games is

[39:58] definitely something because nobody

[40:00] knows going in. It's at least uh

[40:02] efficient as far as closing lines. You

[40:04] can watch and kind of see what's

[40:05] happening on the field. Um and you know

[40:08] make your assessment from there. I think

[40:09] that these games are quality of play

[40:11] terrible. Uh quality of enjoyment very

[40:14] high for me. I can't say that I would,

[40:18] you know, bemoone anyone complaining

[40:20] about these games. It's certainly not

[40:21] what they used to be, uh, with the opt

[40:23] outs and guys transferring and some of

[40:25] the guys playing might not be on the

[40:26] team next year. Uh, it's really weird,

[40:28] but they put them on over the Christmas

[40:30] season when I'm back home with family.

[40:32] And guess what? I'm going to turn on no

[40:34] matter who's playing for each team. I'm

[40:35] going to turn on the bowl game. So,

[40:37] sadly, I don't see them getting any

[40:38] better, but uh, they're good enough to

[40:41] meet my low bar of expectations. I'm a

[40:44] non-ol football watcher, so I don't

[40:46] really have opinion on this. I'll test

[40:47] the waters. Isaac, do you have any

[40:48] thoughts on on the bowl game stretch

[40:50] here? No, nothing. We'll leave it to the

[40:52] big dogs, as you said, on this one once

[40:54] again or anybody in the comments who

[40:56] maybe wants to sound off on anything

[40:57] related to college football. But we've

[40:59] talked a little bit of college football

[41:01] here on the circles off channel, but

[41:02] I'll tell you at the Herb Ner, we have a

[41:05] channel that is completely dedicated to

[41:06] giving you college football content. To

[41:09] hit the books channel, the link is in

[41:10] the description to subscribe to that

[41:12] channel. We have co-host Joey Kesh on

[41:14] with us right now. Kesh, can you tell us

[41:16] what to expect out of Hit the Books

[41:17] during the holiday season?

[41:19] >> We've got special holiday schedule

[41:22] coming up. We're going to be on Monday,

[41:25] Friday doing some live streams on

[41:27] Saturday. We'll have a watch along going

[41:29] for one of the playoff games. Me and the

[41:31] Godfather of CFB. WE'VE GOT THE WE'VE

[41:35] TAKEN THIS network on the back during

[41:38] the holidays when Canadians don't work

[41:40] for four months and nobody's watching

[41:41] any other crap shows on this network.

[41:43] Hit the books, baby. We'll be live and

[41:46] GOING HARD ALL THROUGHOUT THE COLLEGE

[41:48] PLAYOFF RUN. You don't want to miss it.

[41:51] Me and BP, let's go. Get heated. We'll

[41:54] see you live for Hit the Books Monday,

[41:56] Friday, and be on the lookout for the

[41:57] live watch along coming up for one of

[41:59] the playoff games. Well, contrary to

[42:00] Kesh, the Hit the Book Show is great for

[42:02] college football content, but we do

[42:03] other great content in the Hammer

[42:05] network. All those channels in the

[42:06] network are linked in description for

[42:08] you to go watch and enjoy and subscribe

[42:10] to. As for holiday content, I'm going to

[42:12] be working extra hard next week to help

[42:14] produce the end of year Circle Back

[42:17] special. We're going to be looking at

[42:18] some of the best content from the year.

[42:20] We'll talk a little bit more about it on

[42:21] Monday, but that's coming at you in

[42:22] place of this show next Friday on Boxing

[42:25] Day. So stay tuned for that one. But

[42:27] we'll get back to this show present

[42:29] here. Last main topic on the show today

[42:32] comes from Golden Pants at golden

[42:34] pants013 saying, "All right, who wants

[42:37] some YouTube golf action?" It's a Kouchy

[42:39] screenshot from a YouTube golf event.

[42:41] How many course records will Bryson

[42:43] Deshawn Bo break in his c in his course

[42:46] record series on YouTube during 2026? So

[42:50] interesting that you can bet on YouTube

[42:52] golf at this point and particularly a

[42:54] PGA player. And it feels like I I I

[42:56] don't know. It feels like maybe there's

[42:58] a chance for some of these to be

[43:00] influenced by the player. It just feels

[43:01] a little bit weird. Isaac, do you kind

[43:03] of see where I have maybe a little bit

[43:05] of concern with this one?

[43:07] >> Yeah, I do see where you have some

[43:09] concern. I will also say that I I kind

[43:11] of think this is prediction markets at

[43:14] their best. Not for this specific

[43:15] market, but you have something that you

[43:17] know other places might not take any

[43:19] action on and you have someone like

[43:21] Golden Pants who will just throw up a

[43:22] price. I will say I was uh recently at

[43:25] an exhibition match at Madison Square

[43:27] Garden for some from tennis players and

[43:29] I was looking to get a little sweat on

[43:30] it and there were no there were no lines

[43:32] anywhere which you know in one sense is

[43:34] probably for the best in the other sense

[43:35] you know the people want to gamble uh

[43:37] let let them gamble. So uh yeah I think

[43:39] I you know I I hope someone takes all of

[43:41] Golden Pants's money here.

[43:43] >> I'm of the opinion that if you've got an

[43:45] edge like why not bet on anything?

[43:47] There's there's people this is like the

[43:49] classic like you know preseason sport

[43:50] people say if you're betting on YouTube

[43:52] golf you need to call the number where

[43:54] oh I disagree and I'm sure Mike would as

[43:56] well when you have unique markets like

[43:58] this but gives you more unique

[44:00] opportunities to find edges.

[44:02] >> Yeah I I'm the garbage man. I love every

[44:04] garbage market there is. Uh if I knew

[44:07] anything about golf I would be right

[44:09] there with golden pants offering this

[44:10] market. Uh but I don't. So I will say uh

[44:14] it doesn't seem like a very interesting

[44:15] bet to me. How about you, Kenish? You

[44:17] doing any any fills on YouTube Golf or

[44:19] anything like that?

[44:20] >> I was hoping in your intro you'd lead in

[44:22] because one I don't watch golf. I sure

[44:24] as hell don't watch YouTube golf. Is he

[44:26] doing is it like how many of these

[44:28] courses is he playing?

[44:31] >> I I don't know.

[44:32] >> That's right. None of us are really You

[44:33] can tell diehard golf fans here because

[44:35] I HAVE NO IDEA. MY THOUGHT WOULD be like

[44:38] I don't know. I mean also course like

[44:40] he's just going to some random public

[44:42] courses around

[44:42] >> Yeah. It's like a series he does on his

[44:43] YouTube channel. Has he broken any

[44:47] before? Um,

[44:49] >> I'm sure he has.

[44:50] >> I don't It's just like I don't know.

[44:52] >> You know, actually, I don't know the

[44:53] answer to that question, but I'm sure

[44:54] I'm sure HE HAS.

[44:55] >> MY MY THOUGHT WOULD BE like I can't

[44:58] imagine

[45:00] I don't know. I'm going in blind here. I

[45:02] want to say no.

[45:03] >> One of the top top PGA player, one of

[45:04] the best golf players in the world. He

[45:06] goes to like some local course. What if

[45:08] I don't know some like you know a

[45:10] amateur like pro amateurs who's been

[45:12] like the club pro at uh I don't know you

[45:15] know Detroit country club who's been

[45:16] playing there for 30 years had the round

[45:19] of his life once over 30 years and now

[45:21] Bryson's got to shoot minus 16 in one

[45:24] round I don't know that's my thought

[45:26] with knowing nothing

[45:28] >> maybe I'll bet some no well hey bet the

[45:30] no you've got 24 cents on on the nose

[45:34] courts record broken

[45:35] >> based on Kurt's previous opinions If

[45:37] you're a YouTube golfer, you know,

[45:38] anybody, any Joe Schmo that Joey's

[45:40] talking about, they can just make the

[45:41] tour, be top three, probably be the

[45:43] Masters champion by the end of the

[45:44] thing. So, I think that uh basically

[45:47] these records should have already been

[45:49] broken by him, I would assume.

[45:51] >> See, well, this I mean, so some of the

[45:53] guys you're mentioning there are not pro

[45:55] golfers like Deshawn B. So, anyways, I I

[45:58] think this is unique. There's not a lot

[45:59] of volume in this market here. $471 at

[46:02] the at the time that this screenshot was

[46:03] posted. Maybe there's more now because

[46:05] of the script. Someone already bought up

[46:08] all the no on the on the one course

[46:10] record broken.

[46:11] >> Oh, really?

[46:12] >> So, maybe I am one of the sharpest

[46:14] YouTube golf batters in the in the

[46:16] earth. That someone just beat me to the

[46:18] punch and that golden pants price was

[46:20] trash.

[46:20] >> You You got to use the link in

[46:22] description to sign up to Cali and get

[46:23] this market before somebody else.

[46:25] >> I'm not I ALREADY SIGNED UP. I'M ON THE

[46:27] APP RIGHT NOW LOOKING AT IT. I BROUGHT

[46:28] THIS TO take his money, but it's already

[46:29] Someone already stole his Someone

[46:31] already stole the golden pances. Robbed

[46:32] his pickpocketed him.

[46:34] >> Well, there you go. Uh we'll get into

[46:36] the chopping block on the show for

[46:38] today, the final segment where we cover

[46:40] the stories that didn't require a main

[46:42] portion of the show today, but we still

[46:45] wanted to discuss in at least a little

[46:48] bit of the show. So, first one comes

[46:50] from originally Jared Whis NBA saying,

[46:53] "Victoryama explains why he's why he

[46:56] said he wants to play ethical basketball

[46:58] after beating the Thunder." This was

[46:59] after their NBA Cup semi-final win over

[47:01] the OKC Thunder. A bit of an quite an

[47:03] upset. I think it was like a 10 and a

[47:05] half point spread there. But he says in

[47:06] modern basketball we see lots a lot of

[47:08] brands of basketball that don't offer

[47:10] much variety in dangers they propose to

[47:12] the opponents. Lots of isolation ball

[47:14] and sometimes kind of forced basketball.

[47:16] We try to propose a brand of basketball

[47:18] that can be described as more old school

[47:20] sometimes the Spurs way as well. And Max

[47:22] Tanny said fully on board with

[47:24] pretentious Webyama. He's going to save

[47:26] the league from a crisis of boring

[47:28] superstars who never say anything

[47:29] interesting like SGA Joic and Giannis.

[47:33] Mike, do you agree with where Max is

[47:35] coming from here? Do you think WebMyama

[47:36] is the savior the NBA needs?

[47:39] >> No foul baiting. I'll I'll be with WBY

[47:42] there. I will say some of the

[47:43] pretentious and he's talking about the

[47:45] Thunder. They don't play a sophisticated

[47:47] style of basketball. I uh I'm starting

[47:50] to turn a little bit on Wemby here. I've

[47:52] been pro WBY so far. He's got to go to

[47:54] uh got to train with monks to learn

[47:56] meditation. Oh, I'm sorry. Your first

[47:57] level of meditation is not advanced

[47:59] enough. You have to go to the monks. I'm

[48:01] starting to talking bad about my city,

[48:03] Las Vegas, uh my former home. I'm

[48:06] starting to turn here on WBY. I like him

[48:08] still, but I think that in eventually in

[48:11] two years, the only positive perception

[48:14] of him probably won't be unanimous

[48:16] anymore.

[48:17] >> Okay, interesting. U Isaac, I don't know

[48:19] how much you dabble with NBA, but if you

[48:21] do, what are your thoughts this? If you

[48:23] don't, what's kind of your outward

[48:25] perception of Victor Webama at this

[48:26] point?

[48:27] >> Yeah, I'm a I'm a big Webby fan. I love

[48:30] the I love the philos the players turn

[48:32] philosophers especially when they seem

[48:34] to know something like oftentimes they

[48:36] just don't seems like a super smart guy

[48:38] you know uh he came to New York I think

[48:40] it was last year just playing chess with

[48:42] people he's you know reading marks we

[48:44] got him one of my favorite pictures if

[48:47] you guys have seen with the monks in

[48:49] China that's like one of the hardest

[48:51] pictures of all time uh so yeah you know

[48:53] more more philosophizing from not from

[48:56] the others

[48:57] >> oh must be great to be a philosopher

[48:58] that this What made you the great NBA

[49:00] player? You are 7 foot6. Yeah. Wow. You

[49:03] know so much. That's what's doing it. Uh

[49:06] yeah, I'm starting to turn right now

[49:07] just hearing Isaac talk about him.

[49:09] >> One of uh so when I watched this video

[49:12] after the game, I'm kind of on Mike's

[49:13] side actually with this one. It reminded

[49:15] me of the scene from Step Brothers where

[49:17] Seth Rogan's character is doing the job

[49:19] interview with uh uh the step brother in

[49:21] the show and he's like the tuxedos and a

[49:24] job interview that's funny. And then at

[49:25] the end of the interview, he after John

[49:28] Cy Riot character farts and pissed him

[49:30] off, he goes, "Hm, maybe the tuxedos are

[49:33] kind of [ __ ] up." That's what I kind

[49:34] of get. Like I I see this and I go, "Hm,

[49:36] maybe maybe learning from monks in China

[49:39] was kind of [ __ ] up after everyone

[49:41] kind of like, wow, look atama

[49:44] meditating with monks." Uh, Kenish,

[49:46] anything to add on this topic?

[49:48] >> I just I I'm I'm in the Wimi camp. I

[49:50] love him. I like that he's a little

[49:52] salty. Uh, I like that. I don't I don't

[49:54] I'll be honest with you. I don't know

[49:55] what the [ __ ] he's talking about with

[49:57] this traditional basketball thing versus

[49:58] what OKC does. All I know is OKC never

[50:00] loses. So, I don't care what brand of

[50:03] basketball they're playing. But all all

[50:05] signs give me uh Wimi. I love them.

[50:08] >> All right. Uh, next one comes from Jack

[50:11] Settleman and a little bit of Dave

[50:14] Portoi because um, Portoi got really

[50:17] upset with Settleman because Jack Sman

[50:19] said some pretty big sports media news.

[50:21] Part of my take is partnering with

[50:22] Netflix and taking their show off of

[50:24] YouTube. I can't wait for for circles

[50:26] off to be a YouTube exclusive, but for

[50:28] now, make sure you're subscribed on

[50:29] YouTube. Uh, thoughts to follow. And

[50:31] Portoi stool presidente was extremely

[50:35] upset by this. Um,

[50:38] not happy with settlement stance of of

[50:40] maybe not being in in favor of moving

[50:42] off going to Netflix. And he said, "This

[50:44] is laughable from a guy with an underdog

[50:46] logo saying PMT sold out." which is kind

[50:50] of funny because Jack Sleman's logo on

[50:52] his account is Snapback Sports, the the

[50:54] company he is a part of. However, as

[50:57] much as that's funny, does have Underdog

[50:59] in his bio, head of winning at Underdog.

[51:02] And he said in the replies specifically,

[51:04] he does get a paycheck from Underdog.

[51:07] But how do we feel about this kind of

[51:10] era now of sports media where like a

[51:12] show is being put exclusively on

[51:14] Netflix? Do we kind of think this is

[51:16] good for the state of of of affairs? Uh

[51:19] we'll go to Kesh first.

[51:20] >> Well, I'll tell you a couple things.

[51:22] One, it's getting really hard to ek out

[51:26] money in the the media business. So,

[51:29] you're seeing things like this where you

[51:31] know what, like, yeah, we can get a lot

[51:33] of YouTube views in the show, but it's

[51:35] actually more profitable dollar for

[51:37] dollar for us to make a exclusive deal

[51:40] with Netflix. The other side of it would

[51:43] say I think you got to be careful when

[51:46] you have a loyal audience and you just

[51:49] tweak how people get their content just

[51:53] a bit, it can go south. where is the

[51:56] same and you can say if I like to watch,

[51:59] you know, part of my take on YouTube at

[52:02] a certain time every week and now I have

[52:05] to log into Netflix at maybe a different

[52:08] time every week and see it in a little

[52:10] different format. Am I still going to do

[52:12] that? You know what I'm saying? You'll

[52:14] have your very small niche dieards that

[52:16] do it no matter what. But I think your

[52:18] general content viewer, people who

[52:20] would, you know, watch the show, you

[52:22] make it even just a minor inconvenience

[52:24] for them or take it out of the routine

[52:26] or where it's been for a long time. And

[52:29] I think you risk losing a large

[52:31] percentage of your audience. I'll be

[52:32] fascinated to see how this does, but

[52:35] it's one of those things where, you

[52:37] know, I don't think people are as loyal

[52:40] with so much content out there as as

[52:43] maybe, you know, like bar stool is

[52:45] anticipating people are for this.

[52:47] >> So, I I kind of agree with you there

[52:49] because like let's let's take this show

[52:51] for example. I feel like for a lot of

[52:53] people it kind of like pops up in their

[52:55] in their for you or section or the home

[52:57] tab and that's what makes them want to

[52:59] watch but without having that kind of

[53:00] reminder there maybe kind of takes

[53:02] people away from it. Isaac, what do you

[53:03] think on that one?

[53:07] >> Yeah, I agree with Joey. You know,

[53:08] people uh if if they see the same thing

[53:10] every time and they're seeing on the

[53:12] same platform, they get accustomed to

[53:13] it. Uh this was pretty funny to see to

[53:15] see Portoy rage, but uh no strong

[53:18] opinions. Uh you know, look, at the end

[53:20] of the day, it's a business, right? So,

[53:21] they're going to go where they can make

[53:22] the most money. And uh if it pisses off

[53:24] some fans, you know, the fans don't

[53:26] necessarily have a right to see them on

[53:28] YouTube every single day at the exact

[53:30] same time so they can do what's best for

[53:31] them.

[53:32] >> And we see a lot of like like I mean

[53:34] college is currently going through kind

[53:35] of a dilemma with college football that

[53:37] is with where you're able to watch it.

[53:39] So, kind of in the same situation here.

[53:41] Mike, what are your thoughts?

[53:42] >> Like you said, it mirrors sports where

[53:44] everything's getting harder to watch and

[53:45] in different places and it kind of

[53:46] stinks that way. At the same time, uh

[53:49] who are you? People are so like

[53:50] accustomed to getting content for free

[53:52] now that they just feel appalled that

[53:54] they would ever have to pay for content

[53:56] when we regularly did it pretty often,

[53:58] you know, until 10 years ago. So, go

[54:00] ahead, make your deal. I think that

[54:02] they're perfectly in their rights to do

[54:03] it. Uh people can complain, but I don't

[54:06] know. I don't think that you're owed any

[54:07] kind of content for free

[54:09] >> even when it's Go ahead. You

[54:11] >> Yeah, I I agree with Mike there. want to

[54:12] add one thing which is some of the like

[54:14] the worst takes I think are when people

[54:16] are like oh I could never pay you know

[54:18] like $7.99 a month for this streaming

[54:21] service or whatever you compare it to

[54:23] anything else you pay for in life the

[54:24] price of content is so so low like I

[54:28] literally I've been like at bars with

[54:29] people that are ordering a $20 cocktail

[54:31] and they're like no no no I can't watch

[54:32] that show it's on you know Paramount

[54:34] it's like I don't have it it's 13.99 a

[54:36] month I'm like do you hear yourself I

[54:37] mean the pennywise pound foolish so so

[54:40] yeah I'm I'm I'm taking a strong strong

[54:42] pro, you know, selling your content,

[54:44] making some money stance here.

[54:45] >> So, people just don't like when their

[54:48] routine is disrupted at all, even when

[54:49] money is not involved. Like, so, for

[54:52] example, when when we uh initially

[54:54] launched the the hammer, we had a

[54:56] specific hockey channel called Edgework,

[54:58] which we now do like a segment of that

[54:59] on the Hammer Daily, but we had like a

[55:01] dedicated NHL account uh Edgework, and

[55:04] we had a Bet Stamp account that was

[55:06] associated with that YouTube account

[55:07] where all the plays were posted

[55:08] publicly. I remember one day they

[55:10] decided like we've done enough promo on

[55:12] Bedstamp with like the show record and

[55:14] stuff. Now we're going to make the show

[55:16] record with like the pending pics

[55:17] private so people have to come to the

[55:19] YouTube channel to watch in order to get

[55:21] the pics that are free. All you have to

[55:22] do is go watch a free YouTube video to

[55:24] get the pics that you're already

[55:25] getting. And the backlash to that

[55:27] decision was so severe that they decided

[55:30] like we got to just let the pics be on

[55:33] bet stamp for free. Even though you can

[55:34] still get them for free here, we're

[55:36] going to keep it here for free. So, the

[55:38] fact that there's now money involved,

[55:39] yes, people are going to be extremely

[55:41] upset. Uh, last piece on the chopping

[55:43] block today comes from Mitch Moss. Radio

[55:45] says, "Summer 2021, I bet Buffalo minus

[55:48] 6 in a game of the in a game of the year

[55:50] at Jacksonville. They closed -6 and a

[55:52] half before kickoff and lost. Last week,

[55:55] I bet Seattleus 3 and a half Indie. In

[55:57] the look ahead market, Seahawks touched

[55:59] -14 and closed around -1 121 1316

[56:03] final. Nothing in sports betting is a

[56:06] lock ever." Isaac, I the our resident uh

[56:09] responsible gaming advocate. It's got to

[56:11] be you who goes first on this one.

[56:13] >> Yeah, I mean obviously good advice.

[56:15] Nothing is ever a lock. I I will say,

[56:17] you know, as someone who uh tends to

[56:20] enjoy bets that have higher odds, some

[56:22] long shots. I' I've never been of the

[56:24] camp that, you know, I think something

[56:26] is a lock. But, you know, we started off

[56:29] by by me asking Mike how much I should

[56:31] put on Anthony Joshua. So, you know,

[56:33] it's probably a good time to end. I got

[56:35] a lot of people telling me that one's a

[56:36] lock. So, uh I don't know. But yeah, you

[56:38] know, never never overextend yourself

[56:40] too much. These uh the big favorite bets

[56:42] are called bridge jumpers for a reason.

[56:44] You know, you don't want to be in a

[56:45] situation where you overextend yourself.

[56:47] >> I was going to segue to Mike by saying

[56:49] nothing is a lock except for Anthony

[56:50] Joshua, right?

[56:52] >> Yeah. Just as big of a lock as Mendoza.

[56:54] No, for Heisman. I think that uh Anthony

[56:57] Joshua uh it's going to be a dark day uh

[56:59] in the PB household if he doesn't win

[57:01] here. So, but yeah, I I also bet college

[57:04] football look aheads and the amount of

[57:07] swing that you get on some of these bets

[57:09] is insane. And then I also have had, you

[57:11] know, I had Oklahoma plus 10 and a half

[57:13] that ended up losing outright. Uh it's,

[57:16] you know, crazy things that you see uh

[57:18] along these college football lines

[57:20] especially, but there's obviously

[57:21] nothing that's ever 100%. And finally to

[57:24] you, Kenish, can you recall anything

[57:25] that felt like a stone, not a stone cold

[57:28] lock, but essentially a lock with how

[57:30] good of a price you got and it just

[57:31] didn't come through?

[57:32] >> Well, I say if you like stories like

[57:34] this, tune in to hit the books because

[57:36] Powers has one every single week. This

[57:38] is the This is the Brad P. I should have

[57:40] let in with this. This is the Brad

[57:42] Powers. Ah, I bet East Carolina's eight

[57:44] months ago minus three. They closed

[57:46] minus 38 and a half and they lost

[57:48] outright. So, um, yeah, there's been

[57:50] plenty of those in my day. Um, but yeah,

[57:54] that is the there's another show on that

[57:56] network if you want to hear these

[57:57] stories. Uh, there's one man that's got

[57:59] them for you.

[58:00] >> Yeah. I remember when, uh, he had a game

[58:01] that they just decided to not play the

[58:03] fourth quarter and it would have been

[58:05] hit the time requirements.

[58:07] >> Yeah. So, uh, but as China says that

[58:09] this stuff happens every week as a bad

[58:12] beat indeed. That'll do it for us on the

[58:14] show for today. That'll actually do it

[58:16] for us on the Circle Back Friday for the

[58:18] rest of 2025. Thank you for such an

[58:20] amazing year. We're looking forward to

[58:22] attacking the new year as well with this

[58:24] crew, but we'll see some of this crew on

[58:26] the end of year special, which you will

[58:28] see in place of this show in just one

[58:31] week's time, which means you should be

[58:32] subscribed to the channel to keep up to

[58:34] date with all the content. You can

[58:35] follow us if you're listening in audio

[58:37] form. Take a second to rate and review

[58:38] five stars over there. Make sure you

[58:40] have liked on the YouTube account as

[58:42] well, and maybe hit the notification

[58:44] bell so you never miss out on any of the

[58:45] content because we haven't gone over to

[58:47] Netflix yet. We're still right here on

[58:49] YouTube. You never want to miss any of

[58:51] the content. We will see you again next

[58:53] time. We're back on Monday with your

[58:54] typical Monday crew.

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