Hit the Books | Week 12 CFB Best Bets & Previews & Week 11 Recap

2024-11-12

 

 

Welcome to an exhilarating deep dive into the unpredictable world of college football betting! In this episode of our podcast, "Mastering College Football Betting," we unravel the complexities of wagering on college football with expert insights, strategic analysis, and plenty of actionable advice for the season ahead.

 

Recap and Reflection

 

We kick things off with a comprehensive recap of last weekend's thrilling college football games. Unexpected outcomes, such as LSU's surprising loss and Oklahoma's misfortunes, have set the stage for an intriguing betting landscape. Despite these surprises, the excitement for the upcoming slate remains high, and we are here to guide you through it.

 

Game Analysis and Betting Strategies

 

Our focus then shifts to analyzing the upcoming matchups. We delve into the intricacies of games like Maryland vs. Rutgers and Iowa State, where understanding team dynamics, coaching changes, and other nuances can offer a strategic edge. Betting lines can sometimes seem inflated, as with Iowa State, or present hidden value, like Cincinnati's potential play. Whether it's Pitt vs. Clemson or the unpredictable Mid-American Conference (MAC) games, we emphasize the importance of monitoring team conditions and betting lines closely.

 

National Championship Futures and Broader Landscape

 

As we broaden our lens to the national championship futures, we consider the potential of unexpected contenders like Ole Miss, examining the dynamics and odds that might favor lower-seeded teams. The episode also touches on playoff prospects for teams like Tulane, Boise, and UNLV, with a keen eye on how these could impact the overall betting landscape.

 

Challenges in College Football Reporting and Betting

 

We don't shy away from discussing the frustrations and challenges within the college football reporting and awards system. Our candid insights reveal how the voting process can sometimes lack comprehensive knowledge, leading to overlooked player recognition. We blend this discussion with a focus on betting insights, emphasizing the importance of getting the best numbers and recognizing potential value plays.

 

Production Notes and Community Engagement

 

Finally, we offer a light-hearted reflection on the production dynamics of our podcast team, sharing anecdotes about the challenges and humorous moments encountered along the way. The episode wraps up with gratitude for our audience's engagement and an invitation to join us for future episodes filled with expert analysis and insider perspectives.

 

Key Takeaways for Smart Betting

 

  • Recap and Analyze: Understanding past game outcomes is crucial for making informed bets.
  • Focus on Nuances: Team dynamics, injury reports, and weather conditions can significantly impact betting strategies.
  • Monitor Betting Lines: Staying updated with the latest betting lines and market movements is essential.
  • National Championship Futures: Consider unexpected contenders and the potential impact of playoff dynamics.
  • Community and Engagement: Participate in the community to share insights and enhance your betting acumen.

 

Join us in this engaging episode filled with expert analysis and insider perspectives that promise to sharpen your college football betting skills. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or a newcomer, our podcast is your go-to source for mastering the art of college football betting.

 

 

About the Hit the Books Podcast

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Episode Transcript

00:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
3, 2, 1,. Here WE GO, we'll be right back. All right. Five o'clock on a Friday. Let's do this. Let's hit the books. Part of the Hammer Betting Network sponsored by FanDuel. Alongside the man, the myth, the legend himself, Joey Knish, producer extraordinaire, Zack Phillips, noticeably absent today, we will talk about that a little bit Jacob, the main man, my main man Jacob's filling in for him. 

01:11
I'm merely Brad Powers. Before we recap, another winning weekend, although it could have been better, and I'm going to bring that up. I mean we could have had another monster weekend. We were actually unlucky to go eight and four. Before we get into all that, your questions comments, concerns, as we already preview, the upcoming week 12, that's right, week 12, slate. 

01:30
Let me remind everybody that Hit the Books is indeed brought to you by FanDuel. You might've heard of them and you can make every moment more of this college football season with a win on FanDuel, america's number one sports book. Love FanDuel, whether it's you know. Love FanDuel, whether it's you know, releasing the sides and totals first to market 4 am on a Sunday morning. Love waking up early to get those bets in for the upcoming week. Whether it's you know where it's Maxion, it's November. Whether it's releasing those several days in advance before everybody else, whether it's getting win totals in. I they had win totals posted last February. Now I don't think I did a very good job of it. Kanisha will tell you that If I have a missing finger or two, that'll be your note that I didn't do a good job betting those FanDuel win totals. But hey, kudos to them. They put them up early. Whether I win or lose, love FanDuel regardless of all that. 

02:19
And right now, all customers get a profit boost every single college football game day. All customers get a profit boost every single college football game day. That means you can pump up your gridiron winnings multiple times a week. Obviously, there's some big games this weekend. I'm guessing their favorite parlay boost token of this week will be the game of the week. It's basically an elimination game Georgia-Tennessee and you can use your bets on spreads, live bets, totals and so much more. Just visit fanduelcom slash hit the books to download America's number one sportsbook. That's FanDuelcom slash hit the books. Disclaimer you must be 21 plus in present in select states or 18 plus in present in DC. Opt-in required Bonus issued is non-withdrawable. Profit boost tokens restriction supply, including any token expiration See terms at SportsbookFanDuelcom. Sportsbookfanduelcom Call 1-800-GAMBLER or slash healthcom. Kanish Detroit Lions win. 

03:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Don't cover though, but all in all, probably a good weekend for you, bud, how you been. Yeah, good weekend on the show. Good weekend, I mean Lions win, not cover, was exactly what Joey K was looking for last night. I'll be honest with you, me too, so that worked out just perfect. Maybe you know my golf MVP tickets took a little bit of a hit, but other than that, yeah, hey, another good weekend and looking forward to hey, a little Monday action here. People in the comments said you're so ready to get to the keep this heater going. You said Friday in the show today. So yeah, no, it's a Monday show and let's oh, you did say Friday a. 

03:45
Monday show and, let's say, friday. You did, you did. I said this guy he's really feeling, he's ready to get going. But yeah could have been another, you know, legendary weekend. If you know, the good Lord didn't hate us on a couple of these plays. But yeah, let's, let's recap and let's get a few early ones for the week. 

04:07 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, let's recap, though, before we get into our major takeaways from the weekend. Obviously, a couple big games. We lost one. The worst bet that we made was obviously I'll take the blame LSU. We had CLV there, but I mean no show. Big game, brian Kelly. Last time I bet big game, brian Kelly in a big game. Brian Kelly Last time I bet big game Brian Kelly in a big game. That was the loser that obviously we deserved to lose. Let's talk about Utah. Could have won that game outright. Oklahoma plus two and a half. What a nightmare finish that was. I'm not saying that they were the best play, but the fact that they lose by seven in that game, my goodness. 

04:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Missouri got the ball back down. After the scoop and score, I saw I had a few texts from people. They were anywhere from plus 700 to plus a thousand. 

04:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Live yes, so no that, that that that's a bad beat there. That wasn't. That wasn't our only one. Uh, uab leads 20 to 3 at halftime. We're getting seven on the hook. The only time they're not covering is what? The final minute of the game? Yeah, that hurt bad because that was going up against tailgate tent. When you got a touchdown plus dog up 17 at halftime, you think you got to win there. And then one of my biggest bets of the year are you kidding me? North Texas. Not only do I get bad information as far as oh, he's not going to play, he is going to play. Okay, that's fine, he plays. North Texas has not one, not two, but three trips inside the 10-yard line. Result in zero points Zero. Just need one score there. 

05:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That last Chandler Morse interception was legit, like I thought I was in, like the gap, like it was one of those plays where you know it's just inside the goal line, you know, sprint outside left, you try and do a little bit of a cross, the guy was wide open. The guy the route was designed to was wide open. Going to the corner by the pylon, like that's who you want to get open, he throws it to the other guy in the back of the end zone who's double covered for the pick. I tell you what I should have stuck with my. Uh, chandler morris is a fraud from you know, when he was on tcu and they, they went undefeated when they booted him off the field. Uh, in the first game for TC. What a disgraceful performance. That was rough with some of that decision-making. 

06:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I had a guy reach out to me. He's not a tinfoil hat guy, In fact never brought any of this up ever. He said that was almost. It was so bad at the goal line multiple times that he thought there was some shenanigans. 

06:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I have never like the last one. I can't get over because you're. 

06:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, the simple thing that you could throw a high school kid. Yeah, right, high school. 

06:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, high school route. Two receivers, one crosses goes to the high line. Yeah, you throw it to him and he, just like off-balance, lobs it to the back guy. Yeah, that was rough. 

07:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But we did have we focused on the losses. We did have a bunch of wins. So if you want to bring them back up, obviously we had a good day, we've had a good season, winning season. And you know, obviously I mentioned Utah Mississippi State can't lay points with Tennessee, hey we did have one. Thank you, oh yeah. 

07:29 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Thank you. 

07:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Shiloh Sanders for picking that up and scoring a touchdown. That was nice, because I thought we were dead. You see, that first quarter there, oh my God, I thought we were totally dead. Then I thought we were going to easily win after the third quarter. I just needed one score in the fourth and it didn't look like we were going to get there. So we got there with the Colorado win total. A bunch of other wins there, good winning week. We'll see if we can get into. You know, san Jose State won outright. What else do we got there. 

07:56 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Kansas blowout winner. Kansas blowout winner outright Georgia. 

08:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Tech wins outright, ucla wins outright. I mean, come on folks, those are easy Again. We should have had like a 10-2 week. Yep, just being honest, not like we were fortunate. All right, bigger takeaways, obviously. I'll say this I would not want to play Ole Miss in a playoff. They're going to get, you know, 10 or 11 or 12 seed. I would not want to play the Crimson Tide of Alabama. No role plays like that in a playoff game. So those are two teams that we saw their A-plus performances and I'm here to tell you their A-plus performances are as good as anybody in the country. So those teams are pretty live, to say the least, if they get in the playoffs. 

08:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It was like shocking to see Ole Miss beat Georgia in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Uh, because that was where it was really one was. It was a yeah, I mean it wasn't an Ole Miss game where Lane was up and down and you know, and you could think it's funny because you could tell he was a different, he was locked in. Uh, for that it wasn't your uh, you know jovial Lane Kiffin who's up there. So they wanted that one. They had a great game plan and, yeah, they beat up Georgia's O-line and were able to kind of ugly it up and up on offense without some of their best skill player there and a little banged up. And so that was. Yeah, I agree, especially if Ole Miss gets healthy, where they can get Trey Hatton, they can get pre-scoring, they get some of those you know, skill players back along with what they've done in the trench. I mean now, granted, they have zero margin for error due to, you know, a couple of bad losses. 

09:34 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They're not losing to Florida or Mississippi State. 

09:36 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I agree. But you know what? Yeah, I agree, though they're probably getting in and that is not a team, that uh. 

09:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I know I I'll be betting. I guessing I'm going to be betting on them in the playoff game. Uh, so I don't know if there's value. I mean I'm going to go boring and say you know, oh, you can get them to what? 10 to one to win the title. I'm going to say you're probably best off mechanical parlay, cause I mean they're going to have to win four games, not like they're going to get a bye, although let's see what happens in the SEC championship game Looks like there's a very good possibility. There's going to be four or five, maybe six teams tied. To see how those tiebreakers break out. As far as who makes the SEC championship game, I feel bad. If there's a two loss team in the SEC championship game. They lose, they get three losses, they might be out. So that'll be anxious to see how that shapes out. Another takeaway the Big 12 and the ACC are only getting one team each and they should be thankful that they're getting one team. 

10:33 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I can't believe of the games that Miami not that they lost the game, but lost it in that fashion. I mean, we were on at halftime where Haynes King is obviously not 100% Georgia Tech loses, their best being a running back, their second string running back and then to go, and they can't come. Man, I agree with you. I think that's a one-team league, so to speak. I hope they adjust the rules. 

11:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Where I'm fine with the ACC champ getting in an automatic bid, I don't want to see these. The top four champs get the top four seats. I don't want to see that. 

11:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean BYU or. 

11:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Miami or SMU to get a three and four seat is a joke. Won't be a joke for the teams that get to play them in the quarterfinal round. 

11:16
I'll tell you that they're going to be happy because they're going to be favored, these two lost SEC teams. Thank you very much. I'll play byu uh, I'll play an smu. Or miami uh. Let's get to the chat, the true stars of the show. Benjamin rash with a super chat 1999 uh, thank you to all that have served. One day of appreciation is never enough, agree? Well, very well said benjamin. So hopefully we get that in the hands of people who have served. Is anybody in the Hammer Betting Network served? 

11:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
In the military and I'm not saying time. Yeah, joey K Sr was actually drafted to Vietnam, the old man, so it took him to get some veteran to say stuff today. So yeah, he was in, maybe not willingly, but he was in. So yeah, it seems a while the time would go. But yeah, especially anybody that watches anybody. Thank you for the service. I really appreciate that, benny. 

12:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Right back at you guys. Again, appreciate that super chat there. Speaking of super chats, another $1.99 from Little Jeff Sony Marilyn Rutgers thoughts Doctor came in on Maryland today. 

12:31 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh. 

12:33 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm going to say this what are we up to six now? Maryland, Rutgers I would be more inclined on the Rutgers side at current yeah me too. 

12:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm a little surprised at that one by the good doctor. I it got but I didn't think it was gonna get there and it got bought back a little bit. But yeah, I would, I would lean ruckers already and if we, obviously if we saw seven, uh would be that's one. 

12:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We're gonna holster that one in the chamber. Let's see where the market is on friday for that one. Uh, yeah, I'm, I'm more on rutgers there, I, that was a big win for them, uh, and you know, big, big rally there and obviously they need another one for ball eligibility, so they're gonna go all in uh, here. Uh, maryland got a cover. That was one head to head. You beat me, remember? We went head to head on saturday I know don't. 

13:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, put it on the sheet, baby jake jacob make sure that's on the street, if it's not car, if it is counted twice there you go. 

13:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That's joey k. Uh, let's get back to the chat. Uh, action sports central. What do you guys think about? Iowa state's number seems a little bit high. Also, west virginia seems like a play even without green. Uh, starting with iowa state, I did bet them. I might be part of the reason why it's high, uh, but I would not be recommending to bet them now at current. Did you take part in that? They opened six yesterday. 

13:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I did so I would agree. I think it's a bit eyewear. Well, I mean, here's what I'll say. I think we kind of Iowa State I don't- want to call them totally fraudulent. 

14:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
But I mean, they are who we thought they were, though, yeah. 

14:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They are who we thought they were to start the season and that was not a team that was going to run the table go undefeated. I'd probably lean Cincinnati yeah At this point at that number. I think Cincinnati. I think the Cincinnati West Virginia game might've given us an opportunity on two games Cause, to be honest with you, I think Cincinnati should have won that game yeah. 

14:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
At eight and a half or no. 

14:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm, I'm, are you there? I'm, I'm kind of. 

14:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I would. I can only bet Cincinnati current. I'm just saying you know I laid six cause I thought it was going up. 

14:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, the other game. I've got a stronger take on. 

14:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, let's get to that. Uh, because action sports central asked about it. West Virginia Baylor. Uh, without green, I am more inclined to be betting Baylor in this game. 

15:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I Baylor, under three for me is a play. Robertson got the bill of health. Clean bill of health looks good to go. I don't think West Virginia's second day and Cincinnati when they got the passing game going a little bit second game. 

15:17 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I mean, and what if Green's in and the line moves? 

15:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's fair? There is that Again. Do I think he's going to play? Probably not fair. There is that again, do I think he's gonna play probably not, there is that potential scenario. 

15:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Um, what I'm trying to say, not necessarily the injury, but I'm just I'm trying to time this right so we get the best price you think. 

15:35 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It goes to three I think it goes out to three. 

15:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, assuming that green doesn't play all right, there we go, baylor misleading, very misleading very misleading game West Virginia last week two, two uh uh, obviously defensive touchdowns. We were talking about a lie. The pick six changed momentum and then Cincinnati grabbed momentum again and there was another, you know, defensive touchdown. 

15:58 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So yeah, all right, there you go, yeah they were gonna buy on team and I I love this spot for him, uh, even though it's in morgantown and that coming off a little bit of west virginia, a lot of games going here, beat up backup quarterback not really playing that well, um, yeah, I think this is a good spot for for baylor, especially with robertson good to go. I think that passing office should shred him up there you go, best bet. 

16:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There we go. Baylor minus two and a half. Burt Browning's in the chat. Happy Monday, fellas. North Texas plus six. Very painful, braski USC. I think SC blows them out. North Texas yes, very painful SC game. There's a lot of moving parts there. We got a new quarterback for SC, maiava's going to play, and now we got a new offensive coordinator for wisconsin or uh, no, that's nebraska. 

16:50 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Jesus, I'm uh your boy, yeah, yeah, yeah nebraska. 

16:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, jesus, I'm mixing them up. Yeah, the nebraska new. Uh oc ogerson, what the hell are we doing? 

17:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
you're going over I mean, this is really a bur Bert. This is like your uh don't touch with the 10-foot pole game. I don't know. I mean, my Ava is not. I'm a little surprised at that. Uh, my guess would be, miller Moss probably heads out somewhere else, uh, after this season, because I I didn't and think you know a lot of the struggles this season were totally on him and obviously you've got the Rayola injury and Holgo coming in Like I don't know. I don't really know what to make of that. 

17:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't either. He's just got there. 

17:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It's not like you know, he's all off season and I mean they I wouldn't say they were were running a whole go type of system. You know what I'm saying? Like it's not even close, no, so I have no idea what he's going to try and do in one week here. Like are they going to be running? You know what he was running at Houston, west Virginiaia, or I don't know the game alive the game alive. 

18:07
But yeah, that's a really like this late and I know they're in a rough stretch here, but to me that's something you do like, maybe before the bowl game if you make a bowl, or going into next year to I don't know that. That seems a little bit panic-buttony for the rule era. Agree. 

18:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I pass Bert. Oh no, I just read that Trip in the chat. Happy Veterans Day Right back at you to all that served Colorado plus 160 to win the Big 12 in the market. Could this be a better price and angle to play Hunter to win the Heisman Little wiggle room in case Hunter finishes second or third? Did we put that in the portfolio Colorado? 

18:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know you did. I was going to say it's in the Kanishk portfolio. I don't know if we put it in the show portfolio. I know we talked about it on the show being a good buy there. 

18:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't want to do it right now. No, no, no what are you doing with? The heisman hunter's. The favorite deserves to be the favorite for sure. 

19:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
But at kansas, looks, I mean, that's gonna be what a colorado. Maybe a one or two point fave there. I mean, maybe, maybe, I love, I love them jayhawks right now. I do, I mean, do especially. Uh, you want to already get to this week's rock chalk? 

19:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, that's rock chalk. It will go to Kansas BYU. Jacob will bring up that game. We just not even bury the lead here. Kansas BYU. 

19:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They're the best buy in the country. 

19:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, they are. It started with the Kansas State game. 

19:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah. 

19:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
As soon as they turn it on against Houston a few weeks back, you're like Whoa, I mean, that was a Kansas we expected to see and then could have been Kansas state do yeah. 

19:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We're, we're, we're taking three and a half left out there too. So, uh, yeah, yeah, so. 

19:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Jacob, when you put that in a shop around, chop around for the best number, because I don't know that plus three and a half, juiced at 118, is probably not best. 

20:05 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
But anything above three. I think most places are, yeah, like flat three now. 

20:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh are they. 

20:13 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, that I mean, maybe let me, that's what I thought. 

20:16 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
No, I think three and a half, three and a half. 

20:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I agree, I like the, I like the Rock Chalk, rock chalk a lot. Byu, incredibly fortunate to be utah there, uh, and then getting a team that is finally firing on all cylinders here, uh, in the, the leopold troop. So yeah, you got, I don't know, we, we questioned it a little early. They have really righted the ship, um, gotten healthy at a few spots, but but that's to me that's the sign of good coaching. Great coaching. There is, you know, when you can have that rocky start and then bring it back together and get the team kind of coming up like so yeah, I like that a lot. 

20:58 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think they went all right. Probably going to be in the money line. Ron Robin parlay. What do you call it? The Joey K Lay? 

21:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The Joey K Underdog Parley Okay, we've been workshopping it. 

21:13 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Okay, I think that's a likely team in that this week. Just saying I would agree, right. Yeah, no, I mean, I just you know We'll see where the number's at I was going to say see where the number's at. 

21:25 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm just kind of surprised the three and a hook's hung out there today. 

21:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Well, there was a lot of keep in mind last week know a lot of people, including us, like Utah, so I don't know why. What is the market scene in BYU? I don't see it. So I mean they're four and O and close games. Kansas O and five changed a couple of plays in these team seasons and we're not dealing with three and a half, another best bet in the big 12. All right, let's get back to it. Charles in the chat, more futures, futures. I have indiana 250 to one big 10 and to make playoff tickets, thinking of dumping a lot of my equity in ohio state. Uh, before the game any opinion on big 10 and other conference winners? I mean, I understand that, uh, because, yeah, I mean the chances are they lose that one. We're looking at what Ohio State, oregon. So how's it? Yeah, ohio State would beat, would have the tiebreaker over Penn State. Oregon's going to be one because they're unbeaten. Ohio State would have the tiebreaker over Penn State and Indiana, right, because they beat them both. 

22:29 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So if well, his, I mean dump the equity you'd basically be playing some Ohio State money line. 

22:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I know, I was just saying if they could lose the game and still make it. 

22:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm just saying, yeah, I would be dumping it because they're not beating the Buckeyes, I agree, but I mean so let's start. I agree on a couple aspects. The only question is if they do beat Indiana and then they're going to go, or I'm going to say they do beat Ohio State, then they're going to be. You know a dog, you know a similar size dog versus Oregon. You're getting into some you know tricky hedging spots there. With that said, I'm not going to say got exposed versus Michigan, but that second half, like you, started to see that, that, that the difference between elite talent and what I would call above average. You know good, coached, quality talent. Indiana has cause that Michigan D line in the second half, adam, I mean they had negative yards in the second half. So yeah, I'm again. It's been a great story, great run, though I'm sure they'll make the playoff at 11-1. 

23:38 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You think that's a slam dunk. I don't know. 

23:41 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Let me say I won't say slam dunk. 

23:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I would definitely. So. To get down to it, I would be hedging more of the Big Ten ticket. Lock yourself into a profit there by betting Ohio State Moneyline, because I think you're going to win Ohio State Moneyline the playoff's a little bit more 50-50. But I think Ohio State let's see the price we get next week. I'm looking to bet Ohio State Point spread so I think they could really expose Indiana, because that was not a great look last week against Michigan, that second half they easily could have lost Big super chat here. Mitchell Ferguson $139.99. 

24:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was trying to say or Michiel earlier in the year. He's like. No, it's just Mitchell. He's like I have just Canadian. That's how we spell it. 

24:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Fellas, missed the live streams last week and wanted to thank you for crushing last weekend. Thank you for all you do for free Love. The show Late today. Let me get a question on Friday. Well, we'll mark that down. 

24:34 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Brother, you put a super chat like that. You get a question whenever you want. You got a question right now. Send it in the chat, We'll answer it for you. 

24:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yes, you got five questions. You got five right in a row. We'll answer them. But we really appreciate you, mitchell, for that super chat. That is interesting. E-a, that is interesting. Uh, e-a-l. Mitchell, interesting. But I guess you know I michael I mean, my middle name is michael, I guess it's spelled, is it? I haven't had the no, it's a-e-l. What that's weird, but what isn't weird is we appreciate the super chat. Mitchell man, I'm off today. What the hell's wrong with me? I I need coffee. I did not get my coffee. That's what it is. Garrett in the chat. What do you guys think about Pitt plus Tenet at home against Clemson? I don't like Clemson but I'm out on this. Pitt offense is done. 

25:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
No, I agree. To be honest with you, I was going to lean the other way on that one, because I think there's only one, nine and a half, and it's at the is it at our, our, our book? 

25:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah. 

25:43 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Where are you at on Clemson? 

25:48 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I haven't bet it yet but, yeah, that's good. 

25:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm, I'm with and this is just. It's more of of a I agree with. I, clemson kind of you know, played with the food a little bit against virginia tech wasn't overly impressive, um, but they're down nothing on the road to blacksburg, they're off a loss and they come back and dominate that game. 

26:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That was impressive, I thought no, that's fair. 

26:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That's fair to put it in a different context Pitt, I agree Pitt, like the dream has died in Pitt. I mean both give you. Yarnell came in after Holstein was banged at. Four for 12, two picks, yeah, and there it goes. I was hoping to get under 10 and hoping it stayed stuck for the show, and there you go. 

26:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So yeah, did we get an end, Jacob, oh, that's what she said. Uh, hopefully, uh, hopefully. We got that in at nine and a half, If not, somebody did Cause it moved Austin in the chat, Arizona state plus nine anywhere on Scataboo, uh, being out longer. Uh, I, this is very similar to the Iowa State game since I laid six with Kansas State. It's going to go up, but right now I would bet Arizona State. Where are you at there Now? Arizona State is very fortunate against Central Florida. 

27:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
That was a very misleading win Agreed. The Scadaboo thing I'm more like. If it's a severe enough shoulder injury to be out for a week, like that makes me think it may maybe not a one week type of deal. Um, so I wouldn't feel super kind. Dr kanish wouldn't feel super confident in him going, if he even like to be honest with the. If he didn't, uh, I'd kind of still lean that way with with arizona state where I got a Kansas State as far as getting margin and all that. It's very interesting. They've kind of morphed the offense a little bit into Avery Johnson being a little bit more of a passer. I agree, I agree with the move there under a TD or better. But now with this number, if you gave me, I'd probably be looking for 10 here on Arizona State to really get in, probably in a no play zone at the moment agree, let's see friday. 

28:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
On that one I'm bolting. Yeah on that one. And then also the iowa state. Since you don't, do, we give out, since, since he I got confused, we gave out we haven't officially fired on yet all right, thank you, guy asked great saturday. Thanks guys, it feels like colorado state minus 10 and a half is too many points. Big rivalry game, border war, I think they call it. Uh, did not bet it yet Wyoming Colorado state on Friday. I don't know, we were wrong on Colorado state. 

28:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah Well, I, I, early on I was like we were right. But give it credit to our man. Uh, give credit to our man, norvell here, who we've kind of dogged for some points they have, even with some significant injuries. Now is some of that I mean. 

28:42 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Nine and a half Eileen Colorado State. 

28:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The last four games. Here you know San Jose State at home, which was nice, air Force, nevada with backups, and New Mexico. 

28:55 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So Well, is Wyoming better than any of them? They're probably worse than a lot of the teams? 

29:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Probably not. I mean Wyoming off of by big offensive output. There versus New Mexico, the offensive seemed to be a little bit more stagnant. I can't lay it. I agree with him. I think it's too many points I'm not looking to get. I'm not looking to lay. 

29:21 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Well, shop around. Nine and a half is not a good number if you're betting Wyoming. Yeah, I agree I could. I got to look. We're getting to the time of year. You got to check weather, especially in the Rockies. The weather's clear. I could see a sneaky over because Wyoming's offense is getting better as the season's going on. Arthur in the chat ECU minus 13 and a half. I do think they're much better with Hauser at quarterback. Obviously, anybody can be better when you're not throwing interceptions Like that idiot, Jake Garcia. They seem to have been getting a bump with the interim. They seem to have been getting a bump with the interim. Uh, I can't get the 13 and a half though, now that that got. 

30:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Did you bet ecu? Because that got bet pretty good yesterday early. Yeah, I, I agree it's, it's rich now. Um, yeah, it's that they have. Obviously, you know, since the coach, I don't love mid-year coaching changes that much, to be honest with you, but that's when they have really kicked it into gear and yeah, it's just it got a little rich. If it was around the opener you know 10, 11, 12, you could have told me past 13. I got to just lay off there. 

30:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Charles in the chat. Anything in JMU versus Brad's favorite team and Hugh Friesling 24 against a non-conference opponent late in the season. Where have I seen this story before? I did not bet the JMU game yet I could probably lean Old Dominion there, and I did not bet the Auburn game, but I was looking for something a little steeper for UL Monroe. 

31:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Two games I haven't bet yet. Yeah, I, I haven't. Again, nothing for me and JMU either. Um, played a little bit on the total, uh, in in Auburn ULM, I think early on the under, but uh, so here's the problem. Do you do you want? You want to think yeah, but you know I don't. I also saw Peyton Thorne didn't practice all week last week, so don't know for sure. You know what I mean. I don't know. The rest thing Is he going to be able to go this week? Um, so we'll see. That said, I get ULM much better year than a lot of people thought. I don't love a team that has absolutely no passing game, that kind of relies on the ground and pound. I get going to an SEC team. That's got like I just don't think that works, like I don't. I mean, does Auburn get enough margin? I don't know. But I mean, if you're a Furies you better look to get some margin. 

31:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You got an opportunity to kill somebody. Kill somebody, are you kidding me? I just I don't know ULM's offense. I know they've been a good story, but I feel like they're kind of running out of gas. They had that. What five and two start? I don't know if they're going to win another game. So well, we'll revisit that one on Friday and see where we're at there. We do have another sponsor for today's show. I gotta get to this, uh, because I was told so by the producer. That's not here. Uh, the producer, zach phillips, nowhere to be found. Uh, the whispers are that. Uh, he, there's been a other show that is getting priority over this show. 

32:35
Yeah, that's funny. Maybe that's why I'm off a little bit. I'm a little, you know, not happy with it. 

32:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You're trying to take that knife out of your back. That's accurate, yeah. 

32:45 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So it's interesting. But Phillips, before he decided to pick the other show over this show, said you got to read this and it's interesting because it looks like we've got a brand new product here. And if you're looking for to beat the college football and basketball player prop market, it's time to try that. Stamp pro, a brand new ad screen from our friends at bet stamp. They've created a highlight market-based edges across any prop type. It's essential for top down betters. That stamp has developed a highly efficient, reliable, market-based true line that incorporates unique market-specific adjustments powered by real-time data from over 50 sportsbooks. Plus, betstamp Pro features a user-friendly layout that allows you to view the line history for any prop with ease. What you need to do is you visit betstampcom slash HTB. Betstampcom slash HTB to get Hit the Books, exclusive trial pricing and a free demo. A limited number of spots are available, so act quickly. Again, that's Betstampcom slash HTB, as in Hit the Books. 

33:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, we got a little teaser before the show. On this, I will say, yeah, it looks pretty good to me yeah, interesting also I haven't. I probably shouldn't say this before I say I think our product might be a little bit more cost friendly than some others out there on the market uh, interesting, I like that yeah so I see, uh, you're more in tune with the gambling drama. 

34:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I see there's been some back and forth competition between yeah. 

34:20 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I think the odd screen how can I say this politically? The odd screen business has caused a rift between two, between two former friends, big personalities in the industry. 

34:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
When I say it's the old Godzilla line, let them fight. I'm anxious. I had a smirk on my face when I saw that. I can tell you that. 

34:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Jacob did not grab the nine and a half, which probably means this is his last week with the company. So yeah, interesting. Yeah, we wish him well, you know what References for Tim Hortons or whatever he's going to next. I'm sure Brad will give you a nice cover letter. 

35:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There we go. That's Joey Knish, I'm Brad Powers. Jacob, we love you, buddy, but you got to be quick on the trigger on this show. We do move markets. You don't always win, but we do move markets. 

35:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
We do the other shows where you can give it out an hour. Nobody's touching it. 

35:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, nobody's touching it. 

35:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
The people in the chat here are actually betting it On Edgework. 

35:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
you give out wings minus 120, it's probably uh minus 110, you know six hours later we do operate differently here, but but for some reason, even with that market influence, I guess we're not the a show, according to behind the scenes. So, my goodness, moses, in the chat sup brad, I always see you wearing college football gear. Ex Ex-San Jose State grad. I was just at San Jose State this summer. I liked it there. Let me send you some Spartan gear. Thanks you guys for everything. Appreciate you, moses, and I will wear it. I mean San Jose State was another win total. 

36:11
Man, I owe you money. San Jose State was another win total. I thought we had a good one there, Nope. So Nia Matalolo has kicked my ass this year. Although we liked San Jose State last week, that was a good winner for us. We took them against Oregon State. Nice outright winner. Chuck's seen the chat. Current number in Gainesville Suggests you guys that lag way. Is it go this week? Yeah, I think, and looks like light to me if he's out. I kind of lean LSU though. Where are you at? 

36:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I kind of lean that way as well. 

36:40 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Let's Are we giving it out? Are we waiting? What are we doing? I kind of like LSU, even at this number. 

36:51 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was going to say if Lagway gets officially announced in, do you think we get a little bit more? 

36:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I think we might go, and the people are wanting to throw an LSU in the trash after last week. So I think we're probably best served to wait. Because here's the thing If Lagway gets announced out, it'll move a little bit. I don't know if it'll move enough to reflect it, though by the time Friday comes around, keep in mind mind, I think the market's a little slower with uh hoops going totally. I noticed that now we did see movement on friday, but it uh last week. But uh, the market was pretty tame until then. So we'll keep an eye on that. I'm looking to bet lsu there. Uh, garen the chat. Is this the week byu finally gets clipped? Yeah, we, we love kansas here. I hope so, kansas. Uh, when the show started, kansas plus three and a half was my favorite bet on the board trip in the chat I did a ceremonial burning on my golf 50 to 1 mvp ticket zero chance he wins it. 

37:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, how about the them detroit lions five interceptions and they still win I was gonna say I mean, I, I wouldn't put it at zero trip. Is that the kind of performance you want on a public Sunday night game? No, but a lot of season to go, if the team can go, you know, 15-2, 16-1, maybe the Bills, maybe you get an injury or something. I wouldn't. Yeah, it's funny because look how far did he drop down. 

38:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh my God, he's not even listed. 

38:10 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, golf, oh my God, golf, oh my god, you know. So I tell you what I don't think it's dead, dead, I do. I think he's gonna win. No, um, but I wouldn't say it's totally dead. Would I be running to the counter to bet it? No, but don't throw it away just yet, trip uh, bier, also look at these lions questions. 

38:32 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I don't blame them. People are excited that line set up as a nice middle for those early on texans plus four and a half. I did. 

38:37 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was on houston last night too yeah, me too, uh, and you know what, regretfully I did not partake in any of that. Uh, middle I saw some like I think you got up to like four or five to one on the money line um early second half I did not. 

38:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I thought that was just gonna be a loss. Just one of them that's. That's not your day. 

38:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was talking to somebody. Tickets for this weekend versus the Jags Now McGregor, this is versus the Jags as a two-touchdown favorite are insane Like legitimately to get in and sit in like the nose we're talking like Madison Square Garden places Like nosebleeds are over $200. 

39:13 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
What's the thing? I went to a couple of Thanksgiving. Yeah, what are those? 

39:18 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
tickets. 

39:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Like. 

39:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Thanksgiving is even another level of a cause. Bears on Thanksgiving Now, granted, usually. I don't know if you usually get the Chicago fans coming in with this year in bears bill. I don't know what's happening, but yeah, they'll be great. I'm rooting for you, buddy. I hope they win it all. 

39:31 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I'm rooting for you, buddy. I hope they win it all. I really do. I am not a big, major pro sports guy but I am rooting for the Detroit Lions, probably more for any professional sports team in years in any league. I mean that would be awesome. Kyle in the chat, I mean another great weekend, guys, thanks. If you had to take a national championship future at current odds, who do you like? Ole Miss for me. 

39:55 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Do you know you like uh, ole Miss for me. I do you know I actually. So Fandel keeps these up during games. Uh for him and like, which is awesome, so for a lot. The second I saw it going one way. 

40:07
I bet a little 25 to 1 on Ole Miss, like there was uh very good bet yeah, and I because I was like, oh bad, like this team just watching it and it was like one way track. I was like, oh, this team just watching it and it was like one-way draft. I was like, oh, if this goes off, then they're very Gun to my head, though, at the current prices of the teams on there. 

40:25 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Who do you like? 

40:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Probably Bama at current. I don't hate Notre Dame at 20 either. Notre Dame, they win out. Like the win out, is it? 

40:39 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
depends on the. I'm going to tell you some of them first-round matchups. I mean, I'll make a bold statement. Would you be stunned? You got the top four teams going to buy. I think two of them are useless the big 12 champ and the ACC champ. I think there's a very strong possibility. The national champion is going to be a five-seater lower. Yeah, what would you think of that take? 

41:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
yeah, no, I don't. I wonder if we'll get some seeding, uh like those type of props and stuff uh, once it's playoff time. So I just the worry that I have for Notre Dame is. 

41:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Are they going to play Alabama or, uh, ole Miss in a first round game? That would suck man. I'm looking. Going to play Alabama or Ole Miss in a first-round game? That would suck man. I'm looking to see if I bet Ole Miss in the preseason. Shit, I didn't. Damn. What an idiot I am. Holy shit, that's terrible. Good bet by you, man on Saturday. That's really good. We're bringing up Ole Miss because I mean, if that's their A effort and they're not even healthy Dart wasn't even healthy I mean that's as good as it gets folks. They dominated Georgia, michael in the chat and also Alabama would be the other team too. I mean no role plays like that. I mean who's beating them? Tulane minus six and a half versus Navy Mason, not Macy, but I get it, get it navy. Also wondering if tulane is live for college football playoff. Have a boise, no ticket. Yeah, I think they're live. I mean they just need boise to lose. So, yeah, tulane doesn't have bad losses. They lost oklahoma and kansas state. That's fine. 

42:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, they're dominating I mean boise was not dominant at all on Saturday. No and rematch. Where's the Mountain West title game? This year It'll be at Boise. Okay, blue turf running Rebs going in revenge game. You have said this. 

42:29 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Okay, but then the question is does UNLV get it? Because they would avenge the loss to Boise and their only other loss being overtime to Syracuse. So, man, unlv two it, because they would avenge the loss to Boise and their only other loss being overtime to circuit. So, man, you don't have to be Tulane. I think the the their head to head would be pretty close, but Tulane probably beats Navy. I would lean their way this week. 

42:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I mean stronger conference? 

42:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I think Tulane would be. If I slot in them, it'd be Boise one, tulane two, unlv three as far as the chances to get the playoffs, keep an eye on them. Uh, raging Cajuns too. One loss, but Tulane beat them Very. Uh. Good data point for Tulane. What's that? 

43:09 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was just going to say the raging Cajuns like sneaky are rolling in a in a where I mean I thought early like that was going to be, just like I look a lot like a seven and five, eight and four. Type of team yes, yes, yes, and they have just turned it on and start burying people. 

43:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, now they're looking like could finish 11 and one. Rolling through Zachary thoughts on Temple minus two and a half. We're going back to North Texas this week. Boy, I can't. I mean FAU's Fancher's out for the year. There could be a quit factor. Herman, is he fired? I'm just not big on laying points at Temple, but I think Temple's the right side this week. We can't have them winning. They can win this game, game, but can't win another one, right? 

43:57 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was gonna say, yeah, I think we got three, uh, and this would be three, right yeah, we got three and a half yeah, yeah, yeah, we got a margin but wait, I think for the show we got two and a half. 

44:09 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh dude, I just I'm gonna pass on wind totals next year. I had a terrible job. When you miss a couple fingers, when it's all said and done, you start to reevaluate yourself. North Texas Short week. Utsa is off a bye. I would probably leave UTSA. 

44:27 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'm so disgusted after Saturday. I mean, I know that's sometimes when you want to bye, but UTSA has got the offense role. I don't. To be honest with you, I'd lean UTSA. 

44:36 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree, let's. Well, that's what day is that? That's a Friday. Let's revisit that one, let's see where that one's at. I kind of I want to take UTSA. Oh, garrett, in the chat lag way back. We talked about that. Kelly in trouble with loss. No, his buy, I mean he got a 10-year $100 million guaranteed contract. 

44:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They don't have the money to buy him out. I mean, they spent money, notre Dame fans told you what you were getting. 

44:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
You guys didn't listen. You thought we were shit. 

45:01 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Also, is a certain quarterback going to be on LSU next year? Did you see? This is like some straight out of a movie the Stallions is like joining the Belleville staff. 

45:14 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah. 

45:15 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
What is going on? Like that? That's like what is happening. If you're the Belleville, I'll go. Like what are you like we're going to? I don't know, they're pulling out. They're pulling out the stops for them yeah, I don't know, there was a. 

45:28 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
They had another five star wide receiver for lsu. He was at the. He decided to go to the notre dame forest state game instead of the alabama uh lsu game. Not looking good for old bk. He doesn't recruit. We try to tell. We try to tell you that folks, oh, it's a notre dame problem. He just you know academic restrictions. Once he gets to lsu it'll be different. No, he's lazy, step on and he doesn't perform well at the big stage. I mean, it just is what it is Step on a duck. We love step on a duck. Hey guys have a significant position in ECU Tulsa this week. We love your thoughts. Ecu completely different team with a new regime and new quarterback. Let's go Pirates. The position that I have that's strongest in the game is I like the over. I like this East Carolina offense. It's totally different. So I know we already talked about it. I can't get to the side, but I like the over. I like East Carolina team. Total over is the one that I might attack. 

46:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, no, I agree with you, numbers gotten a bit rich. If you got an early duck on the number, then I think that's a good play. Just as we said, it's gotten a bit rich now Lean that way. 

46:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Actually, Franchise played over at a little bit cheaper, but would still lean that way as well. Yeah, the over, I think, is a pretty good play. Yeah, Franchise reached out to me. He was asking if I got certain numbers. 

46:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know You've been going at it on those for years. I know it's either me or him. So if you want to, he's always I know it's either me or him. 

46:52 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So if you want to blame somebody for a number moving, it's either me or franchise. Probably most likely, I love it. We do go back and forth. I think I got a couple that he wished he had this week. 

47:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
What do we got Tuesday? I can't believe we buried the lead here. Yeah, we got to bring up Max in here. 

47:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So if you just want to go through, jacob, just go to the regular game schedule. Let's roll through all these six Mac games on Tuesday, wednesday. Let's see if we got something here. I did bet it, obviously. What's with the Central Michigan? Had money against them earlier today, then money on them. What the are we betting? Central Michigan games are just passing. 

47:26 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean I don't. I did agree with the over and this is one. If we would have been on earlier, I liked the over move. 

47:35 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I like the over. I bet the over that he asked me. On that one I got the over before him. 

47:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, and you know what, Even a couple in the you know the high forties here, I probably would have been in 47, 47 and a half, 48, 50 and a half. 

47:54 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Now I think I think we might have got uh a little rich. So side, I bet toledo can't bet it now. It was under a key number. Yep, yep, uh ball, uh, ball, state buffalo. Another back and forth today in the in the market. 

48:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I lean buffalo actually me too I also bet the over in the game yeah, I don't know if we best bet, but I definitely lean Buffalo in this one. 

48:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree, Four would be a best bet, not four and a half to minus 115. Bg Western Michigan. 

48:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh baby, Our Falcons. I lean Western. I can't say I can't bet it over seven At flat seven you would have had me on BG over there. 

48:36
It wasn't that great last week man against Central. No, it was a little. No, it wasn't the run gate. Like that offensive line is Jekyll and Hyde sometimes this year like where they could not run the ball very well. Yeah, I didn't think it was overly impressive and Western. Their defense it's like all or nothing. Their defense is so bad Offensively they can get it up. The total, I think, is just it's just high. I mean for a weekday. It's too high for a MAAC game in November. Yeah, for a weekday MAAC game. 

49:03 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I went to school there. Man, I'm telling you I'm not betting overs in November in that and that. At the doy, no way, it's under a pass. 

49:12 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was going to say I'd almost lean under at this number. Yeah, yeah, yeah. 

49:15 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree. Is it best bet material? Though? I don't know Not. Western Michigan's defense is not good. No, it is not. 

49:24 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
It is no, no, and they're playing. 

49:26 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So we'll lean under there. We're just giving you leans because that's what you guys want. I mean, there's games. You want action Akron, northern Illinois I bet Akron, but that number is long gone. Where are you at? 

49:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
on that current. Yeah, I saw there was some 17, 17.5 early there was even higher than that bud. 

49:43 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Oh really, even early, even, more. 

49:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I couldn't get there now. To be honest with you, I'd be waiting to see if, like there's I mean a lot of flat there's a 14 and a half a lot of flat feet. If I saw a flat 14, I'd be at Northern Illinois. 

49:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Were you at on the Eastern Michigan Ohio game a little bit back and forth there, eastern Michigan, you know they're statistically not good yet they just cover like a covering machine in these numbers. 

50:10 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Uh, I I'd lean ohio yeah, I would too. 

50:15 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I didn't time it right. There was some early money on eastern. I'm like, is this going to seven? And then I saw this morning some people the correct. The sharp side of my opinion is ohio. I just I hate not getting the absolute best of number. Then I really don't have much interest in kent state my ohio. 

50:30
I mean, how can maybe the over I mean my, it just all depends on what miami wants to do, but I could also see miami just running a line get on, move on to the next week is I was gonna say is uh, this legitimately, this is like, this is peak action. 

50:46 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They ulitowski or whatever for kent state. Nobody even knew he wasn't starting last week until a beat reporter said you and then had to correct himself and say no, it's not ulitowski, it's like some other guy who couldn't. So not that he's great, but you'd be too. 

51:01 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
We need to create, uh, a mac. People need to be boots on the ground in the mac, yeah. So I'm gonna work on it because I'm gonna be back that way for next season. I'm gonna get some people it, because I'm going to be back that way for next season. I'm going to get some people together. We are going to be at these games. 

51:16 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
BP coming home for 2025?. 

51:18 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, it's becoming more and more likely. So there will be, when I say, boots on the ground, there will be boots on the ground, and if it has to be me, I'll be on the ground and I'll let people know what the hell is going on. Uh, in in some of these us, there's your action. Nothing wild there's really not even. I guess the most competitive you know game as far as the conference standings will be western bowling green, not, not great, we'll see. Anything can happen, though. Uh, I think if everybody put you know bg still live are falcons. So hopefully, yeah, well, yeah, they get miami. 

51:49 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They get this game at home, and they got miami at home. 

51:50 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So you know, bg's still alive, our Falcons, so hopefully they're the favorite, yeah, well, yeah, they get Miami. They get this game at home and they got Miami at home, so I'm hoping that they take it home for us. 

52:00 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, this is kind of the first yeah, give us. People are asking what is the? I've never been. I've been to Vegas many, many times, never, once, once. And I know you've been there a while. Was I like man, I could live here permanently, vegas, yeah oh, what's the bad it's you know it's different post-covid. 

52:23 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
It was a different city pre-covid. Uh, covid changed a little bit. I don't think people you know this is just takeaways, this isn't political side here. I'm just saying that there probably was a reason why they went red for the first time and forever a little bit. Uh, because the the what happened in a couple of years during COVID was it wasn't a great city to live in. 

52:44
I could tell you that usually this is the city anything goes. It wasn't that for a couple of years, so that that got me pretty potheaded. I can tell you that Is it. I'll just say this, not to go on a beat it's not a place to raise a family, definitely not. If you're young and single, awesome place to live. Obviously. If you're an older guy and just wants to bet and mind his own business and you're single and wants to do you know man things, then it's a good city to live in, but uh, again, not a. I would never recommend this state if you want to raise a family. The education system's terrible. A lot of other things going on people are making it in the chat. 

53:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
They have not because of a lot of like the old school nevada lobbyists, like a lot of the new age gaming and books aren't in nevada. So there's, I think there's more opportunity just from a sports betting perspective in in a lot of these states where, where you have the fan duels and all these type of things and the casinos are everywhere now. So, yeah, I just well you know the original why a lot of people went out there for sports betting. That doesn't really make a lot of sense anymore. 

53:53 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Agree. So there's one book here that's kept me here, obviously, but even FanDuel has beaten them to the punch as far as openers and stuff. So not much reason to stay. And I'll go one step further. And the thing that they don't report it's a more dangerous city than uh, than what gets out there because they want the tourism that this day. Uh, it's since covet again a lot more dangerous, uh, a lot more crime here than what's being reported. All right, enough of that. A couple more in the chat and we'll call it a show steven. Uh in the chat. Uh, the washington state lobo is over. I mean, highest total on the board, I could see it UMass plus 14 and a half. I like that. I made that bet. I like the young kid to Haston. Yeah, there's not much difference in their quarterback. So yeah, I, I don't mind UMass. 

54:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I kind of, yeah, I'm kind of you like Liberty. No, no, I said this like liberty. No, no, I said this is uh, this is kind of back in. Uh, you know what you, son of? I should have went head to head with you on liberty last week, but this feels more of like a back to a liberty fade. They're going up to umass uh off a buy a little bit of a qb change. I kind of like it over two tds best bet it or no? Yeah, let's put it in, yeah that's that massachusetts. 

55:10 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I bet that exact line, so like it here we go yeah I think as far as washington state, new mexico over, I could only see that you got suppressed scoring on a couple of recent new mexico games. They moved the football a ton. Against colorado state somehow, it was only 17 to 6. Then last week they're playing on basically a baseball diamond. I don't know, I mean playing, I mean on a dirt field against san jose state. That was ridiculous. They again still moved it, they just didn't score. Uh, brett pond, like either favorite of smu or notre dame, how am I wild about either, not against it, yeah, yeah, you know what? 

55:44 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
no, I did about bc plus 17 I, I was just gonna, yeah, I was just gonna say, uh, at it's most 16 and a half out there At 17,. I'm on BC Notre Dame. 

55:57 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I know, scott, I mean, it is what it is there, yeah. 

56:03 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
He hasn't been playing well no he has not been the backup. 

56:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Scott experience he's fine. 

56:07 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I was going to say in terms of covering this game, I'm not sure that's a bad thing. 

56:12 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I agree, throw the football, notre dame. Nah, I don't notre dame. Like seems like they're on a mission. 

56:19 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So there's a reason why we've been floating them around on some like title stuff, because they I mean, I don't, they're just steamrolling people I mean, I was gonna say they're now granted this isn't exactly the murderer's role, but last four weeks they're winning by an average of like 35 points a game. Uh, they're just absolutely smashing. And I'm not a virginia nice win over pitt. I don't think virginia is very good. 

56:46 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So no, agree. Um boy, a lot of futures questions. Uh, dav, conference title make-miss playoffs. I'm going to rely on you. I am in in the summer. I made like 50 of these that I just whatever it is, it is during the season. 

57:02 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah. 

57:04 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I liked what you said, Ole Miss. That was really good that you did. Colorado was our play a couple weeks ago. 

57:10 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So let me hold on. I don't know these tiebreakers. 

57:13 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
There's going to be like four or five teams in the SEC tiebreakers. There's some other conferences I can't get into that. 

57:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I'll tell you, dave, I'll have one for you on Friday, a little scummy one. I want not to hold out on you, but need to get down on it a little bit and then also just make sure tiebreaker stuff is legit. So, uh, remind me on friday. Uh, I'll have a conference future for you also. Oh, you know, they are going to steal the mackie from harold fanning. 

57:49
Clip this up, because on other shows in the college football realm that some people on those shows may have had bets on. All they want to talk about is Tyler Warren. Oh, she should be unanimous, she should be he ever. He's like 50 yards a game guy and they, they give him a few wildcat carries in the red zone to juice up his stats. It's fraudulent. Fanning's going to like double him up. 

58:13
People don't even know who he is. The voters don't even know who Harold Fanning is and he's the best guy in America and some people on the show, unbiased of course, might have him 500 to one them in the Mackey and they're going to steal it from him. Stop the steal on the Mackey award. Harold Fanning should be the leader, should be the guy. Get Tyler Warren out of here. Sorry, you're a college football reporter and you only watch big games. The best tight end in football plays in Bowling Green, ohio, and you can watch him play tomorrow in the Mac, not in Penn State where you know. Oh, I only watch three games a week and Tyler Warren, I know his name, so I'm going to vote for him. Joke, absolute joke. 

59:02 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Amen, hopefully that whoever's running our social that gets clipped. So I couldn't have said it better Bannon's the best show that he's not going to win it, though Probably not going to win it. 

59:09 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I already know I'm'm gonna tell you here's. 

59:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Enough people ask for phil still stories behind the scenes. So, uh, for several years. Uh, he has a big uh say in the awards. So we're on the committees, we're on. We're on the committees, we're taking the conference calls and we're in charge like the list. Here's the list, you know. Here's the semis. We're on the conference calls. Who makes the list? Who't? I was in charge of that for four or five years on the call. No, you guys have to get this guy on here. If you leave him off, I would be adamant. You cannot leave this guy. You have to vote for this guy With me out of there. I mean, I'll give you an ego. There's been issues. Just saying, I'm just saying that on these conference calls, these people have no clue. They do not watch, I don't even think. They barely watch the big games and if they're in charge of like one team, that's the only team they watch. Is that? 

59:58 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
team Right right. 

59:59 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So I cannot. There's so much I don't know. You would think if your job is to cover and write college football, even the national pundits, you would watch college football, but they don't. So I had to. It was my job to educate people for four or five years. Now that I've been out of there, it just it really bothers me because I can tell someone's not correcting these people like they should. It sucks. Connor UVA, I think, plus 23. I think you're gonna end up with a better number, just letting you know there. Brett, new Mexico plus 13. Could see it, but nah, I mean backdoor's available there. Let's see if you can get a better number there. Houston, arizona, thoughts. I kind of think Houston's a side, but can we get a three? Do you agree with that? 

01:00:48 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I agree with that. This is one. Yeah, I agree. Do you agree with that? I agree with that. This is one. Yeah, I agree. I don't know where the market's going to go on that one, but I would definitely lean that way. That was sharply priced because, I agree, I was looking to bet Houston at open, hoping for some better numbers, and it was just thin. Even though I still lean that way Number-wise, I think it's thin. 

01:01:11 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, let's get a three there. That's a go, David. Miami plus 125 to win ACC crazy value. They have Wake and Cuse left. Yeah, then SMU probably. 

01:01:23 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I mean, if you have a. I mean, as you said, minus 105 there, plus 125, so they'd be. Yeah, that's fine. 

01:01:30 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, I don't think Syracuse is a layup. 

01:01:32 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I don't think Not with that, not with the defense they're running out there, and SMU in the title game is not a layup either. No, I mean, I don't know. 

01:01:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Is Miami probably slightly favored? Yeah, but they're not. 

01:01:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was going to say what is that? Miami Six or seven. 

01:01:45 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Where are they laying Two, three? 

01:01:47 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah. 

01:01:47 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
This is not that good of a team. So if you've got the best price in market, I'm not going to ever boohoo that. But I'm not looking to bet Miami Shane, South Florida minus two and a half, I think. Charlotte's the right side there. To be honest with you, Shane, I just Did you get that? Did franchise look at that three and a half? I almost want to bet Charlotte. Did franchise get that six? That was six on an opener yesterday I hit it. 

01:02:13 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I know you know what they did. We don't have to. They did it a little weird where it was like up and down the screen with the rotation numbers were all like jacked up and so I didn't even see that was at the bottom of the screen. Then I look and it was already already moved. But um, this south, I can't. You, I'll give you credit on this. That Brown injury. That fan was like oh, he's back. We haven't seen him in a month. Is he still there? He? 

01:02:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
ain't coming back. 

01:02:38 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
I was going to say, is he just out for the season? 

01:02:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I think so. Now I took a lot of lumps for the Navy South Florida pick, because I like South Florida. You got me off of it, or at least the show off it. So kudos to you. They did move the football. They had like four or five trips inside the 40, zero, yeah. So keep that in mind. On Navy's defense but yeah, the quarterback is they've been disappointing Charlotte. For me there, anything above three Action Sports Center, just a few more and we'll call it a show. Western Kentucky that line should be 14 plus, I would think. Yeah, I don't know what frame of mind is louisiana tech and they give up the hill mary last week. I mean they've been, actually they've been. They've just lost a ton of close games. 

01:03:21 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
A lot of tech yeah, that that was pete. They give up the hell mary and then the dude misses the pat, like that was Cusa summed up in the season, right there. It was like I was just like laughing out loud by myself watching that. I got to be honest with you. I think Western Kentucky is better, Like I think they're the cream of the crop in the Q, which is not saying much. What do you think? I would lean that way, but I think we've got another cue to lay and it's All right, let's go. People are going to be like how does this guy talk about this team every week? What do you got in Sam Houston Kenny? 

01:04:06 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
All right, I like this. 

01:04:08 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, sam Houston State with Kennesaw State, jacob, because I think we might have the best number in the market at. 

01:04:19 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Yeah, let's go Right now. Do it Minus 13.5,. Jacob, put that in Fan duel, put it in Jake because I agree with you that. 

01:04:28 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
So I don't understand. I was talking to a famous Kennesaw state alum earlier about the, the firing I can't pull. What are what? What are they doing with them? I mean, this is the guy that took them from a, you know, a bottom feeder FCS program, built them up to a competitive FCS program and then they get to FBS. I don't understand. I mean, what were you expecting this season? Something's not right there. And do you see their like their best player? 

01:05:01
on defense just hit the portal Like all their best defensive tackle. After that got announced, hit the portal. So yeah, I like Sam Houston off a bye. First, kennesaw State cannot throw the ball, whatever. I watched way too much of that Kenny UTEP game. 

01:05:19
We got fortunate that that was even that close that it went to OT and all that, like they should have lost that by 10 points. So I kind of think they get waxed this week. They get kids, you know, after the coach gets fired. To me that's not one of like a coaching bump where everybody aided them. I got to tell you I wouldn't be surprised to see them get buried this week. 

01:05:44 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
I like that. Very, very well done, folks. That is the man, the myth, the legend himself, joey Kanish, and that's going to wrap. We'll wrap it up on a best bet. I know we didn't. Joey Pucks, charles, you got any? 

01:05:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Joey Pucks. Joey, do we got a Joe Pucks, for? I think we got an overnight. Let me double check here that the line's still all right. These are actually. These are the best Joe Pucks, because usually the day of is they're pretty thin. Because usually the day of is they're pretty thin. Tomorrow Islanders, oilers under six and a half. So overnight games. Tomorrow that's a Joey Pucks. Islanders, oilers under six and a half. Tomorrow for the Joey Pucks crew. I don't think I actually had anything tonight on tonight's action. So yeah, yeah, if you can get that at six and a half or better, that's a bet there you go. 

01:06:37 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
That is joey knish. Appreciate all you guys. Uh, you know what? Let's recap all the best bets we gave out, uh, so far today, and then we'll call it a show. Uh, so, best bets. I think we had what four of them should have been five, but you know I'm joking but we just we like to give people. You know, I'm gonna tell you right now. 

01:06:53 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
You know that's coming home yeah, I was gonna say I might uh go lay clemson for my mortgage here. I did not buy the nine and a half but we'll see where that's at friday yeah, we'll see where it's at on, because the market doesn't like clemson. 

01:07:08 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So we got UMass plus 14 and a half, like that. Sam Houston, we just gave out Love. That that is great bet. By Kanish Baylor minus two and a half. Kansas plus three and a half Boy. Look at that. All around key numbers getting that extra half point Boy. It's pretty simple, isn't it, folks? That's all it is. I got nothing else, man. You got any closing thoughts? I thought I had a c minus performance dude. I sucked today took you a minute to get going. 

01:07:40 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Then picked it up back half of the show. 

01:07:41 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Uh, got in rhythm, just I couldn't even get the show's date right friday. 

01:07:42 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Yeah, I had to get a little out early and now, uh, hey, I listen, I could. I knew you were feeling, uh, you know, hurt that zach, uh, zach, you know very hurt again. 

01:07:51 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
Like you said, you got a jake up there and he's you know. 

01:07:52 - Joey Knish (Co-host)
Oh, zach's busy you know, hurt that Zach Very hurt. Like you said, you got to pull him Jacob there and he's. You know Zach's busy, he's washing Pozzola's car or something. 

01:08:00 - Brad Powers (Co-host)
So yeah, I can see you being a little shaken up with that. That'll close it folks. Hey, appreciate all the super chats. Comments concerns questions. For the man, the myth, the legend of legend himself, joey Kanish. For Jacob, our great fill-in producer, I'm merely Brad Powers. We'll see you guys on Friday five o'clock. You just watched hit the books, part of the hammer betting network sponsored by Fandle. See you Friday. 

 

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