NFL Week 14 Player Props & Best Bets Today: Picks, Odds & Predictions

2024-12-09

Welcome back to our daily write-up on NFL player props! Come back every weekday for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet all of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!

 

How We Make Our Picks

Our proprietary Betstamp PRO player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, known as Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users!

 

 

NYJ @ MIA - 1:00 PM EST

 

Our Pick: Tyreek Hill UNDER 64.5 Receiving Yds +100 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)

Edge: 8.68% Expected Value

 

This pick on Tyreek Hill going UNDER 64.5 receiving yards offers significant value as our true line has his yardage set at 60.5, while bet365 provides it at 64.5, delivering bettors an 8.68% Expected Value. Additionally, Hill's season stats show an average of just 54.5 receiving yards per game across 12 games, supporting the likelihood of this under-hitting.

 

Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!

 

 

CAR @ PHI - 1:00 PM EST

 

Our Pick: Chuba Hubbard UNDER 14.5 Rush Attempts -120 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)

Edge: 6.88% Expected Value

 

This is a good value pick because the true line in the market is at +103 for under 13.5, while bet365 is at -120 for under 14.5 rush attempts, providing bettors with a 6.88% Expected Value.  With Jonathan Brooks returning to action, another running back is eating into Hubbard's workload. FanDuel, one of the sharper player prop books has this line currently set at 13.5, laying -140 on the under.

 

Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!

 

 

LAC @ KC - 8:20 PM EST

 

Our Pick: Gus Edwards UNDER 11.5 Rush Attempts -125 @DraftKings (Click HERE To Sign Up To DraftKings!)

Edge: 7.62% Expected Value

 

This pick is a good value pick because DraftKings has the UNDER at 11.5 while the true line in the market is at 10.5, providing bettors with an advantageous opportunity. With Gus Edwards averaging 8.6 rush attempts per game over the season and no single game over 11 attempts—the statistical data strongly supports the UNDER, making this a sound choice for bettors. Even with JK Dobbins on IR, the Chargers have been taking a running back by committee approach and this market-based edge see's the line moving towards the under. 

 

Review: Click HERE to see our DraftKings review, promotions and more!

 

 

Maximize Your Sports Betting Winnings

One of the key things to keep in mind when betting Positive Expected Value picks is to make sure to properly manage your bankroll & only bet the correct percentage based on the edge identified. Click HERE to learn more about BANKROLL MANAGEMENT!

 

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