Welcome back to our write-up on NFL week 15 player props! Come back every week for great off-market picks that we identify, and bet all of them over the long run to grow your bankroll!
How We Make Our Picks
Our proprietary Betstamp PRO player prop comparison tool generates our player prop picks. It identifies bets where the odds offered are significantly higher than the true probability, known as Positive Expected Value (+EV) betting (Click HERE to learn more about what +EV Betting is!!). Our data and math-driven approach has won users MILLIONS over the past 3 years, and we aim to uncover valuable, mis-priced bets across various sports to provide disciplined, sustainable profit to users!
ATL @ LV - 8:30 PM EST
Our Pick: Sincere McCormick OVER 54.5 Rush Yds -110 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)
Edge: 8.2% Expected Value
This pick is a good value because the true line in the market is at -104 for over 59.5 rush yards, while bet365 offers it at -110 for over 54.5, providing bettors with an 8.2% Expected Value. Evaluating Sincere McCormick's performance reveals a promising trend: with a robust average of 5.5 yards per carry this season. He has taken over the LV backfield and has looked great in the process. With this number being off-market, there is significant value on the over.
Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!
DAL @ CAR - 1:00 PM EST
Our Pick: Chuba Hubbard OVER 17.5 Rush Attempts -115 @PointsBet (Click HERE To Sign Up To PointsBet!)
Edge: 21.4% Expected Value
This pick on Chuba Hubbard OVER 17.5 Rush Attempts at -115 is a great value because the true line in the market is at -107 for over 19.5, offering bettors a 21.4% Expected Value. PointsBet is the only book in the market sitting at 17.5, while all others are at 18.5 or 19.5. This highlights a significant edge that bettors should take advantage of.
Review: Click HERE to see our PointsBet review, promotions and more!
BUF @ DET - 4:25 PM EST
Our Pick: Josh Allen OVER 36.5 Rush Yds -110 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)
Edge: 7.01% Expected Value
This pick on Josh Allen's rushing yards over 36.5 is an excellent value because the true line in the market is at +106 for over 40.5, while bet365 offers it at -110 for over 36.5, providing bettors with a 7.01% expected value. Supporting this pick, Josh Allen has shown consistent rushing performance, utilizing his mobility effectively in key situations to impact the game positively. With sharper books like FanDuel having their number at 40.5, the line is expected to move further in that direction.
Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!
BAL @ NYG - 1:00 PM EST
Our Pick: Wan'Dale Robinson OVER 28.5 Receiving Yds -110 @bet365 (Click HERE To Sign Up To bet365!)
Edge: 8.5% Expected Value
Wan'Dale Robinson OVER 28.5 Receiving Yards at -110 is an excellent value pick because the true line in the market is set at 33.5 receiving yards. This discrepancy provides bettors with an 8.5% Expected Value, highlighting a strategic opportunity to capitalize on the mispriced line. Robinson's season stats further bolster this pick, as he averages 37.3 receiving yards per game, comfortably surpassing the 28.5-yard threshold. His 67 receptions on 102 targets illustrate a reliable presence in the offence, suggesting consistent opportunities to exceed the set yardage line.
Review: Click HERE to see our bet365 review, promotions and more!
Maximize Your Sports Betting Winnings
One of the key things to keep in mind when betting Positive Expected Value picks is to make sure to properly manage your bankroll & only bet the correct percentage based on the edge identified. Click HERE to learn more about BANKROLL MANAGEMENT!
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